Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6950

Bill Overview

Title: No Gun Lists Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives to immediately eliminate its Enterprise Content Management Imaging Repository System. It also provides a private right of action for individuals aggrieved by a violation of this bill.

Sponsors: Rep. Gosar, Paul A. [R-AZ-4]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by changes to gun ownership record management

Estimated Size: 81400000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Small Business Owner (Alabama)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I value my privacy and I'm glad that ATF is stopping this data collection.
  • The removal of records feels like a win for gun rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Software Engineer (California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this move puts us backward in terms of regulating firearms.
  • Privacy is important, but not at the cost of safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Retired Law Enforcement (Texas)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I trust the government less with my data, so this is good.
  • I want my gun ownership to be my business only.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

College Professor (New York)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This doesn't affect me directly, but I think transparent gun ownership data is necessary for policy.
  • Any change in data policy needs thorough public discussion.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Farmer (Missouri)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support any policy that respects my right to privacy and ownership.
  • This policy helps ease the burden of federal oversight.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Outdoor Guide (Colorado)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm indifferent as long as my work isn't affected.
  • Would like to see clearer guidelines on this.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Graduate Student (Vermont)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a critical issue concerning privacy and transparency.
  • I'd like more information on the impact of this change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Police Officer (Illinois)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry that eliminating this could hinder our work tracking illegal firearms.
  • Balance between privacy and security hasn't been met.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Freelance Journalist (Oregon)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Intrigued to see how this impacts broader civil liberty issues.
  • Important to monitor federal data policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Gun Shop Owner (Florida)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried this may complicate background checks.
  • Unclear guidelines could hurt business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Key Considerations