Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6946

Bill Overview

Title: SAFE Act of 2022

Description: This bill permanently places fentanyl-related substances as a class into schedule I of the Controlled Substances Act. A schedule I controlled substance is a drug, substance, or chemical that has a high potential for abuse; has no currently accepted medical value; and is subject to regulatory controls and administrative, civil, and criminal penalties under the Controlled Substances Act. It limits the application of mandatory minimum penalties for certain offenses involving fentanyl-related substances, establishes a process to deschedule or remove certain fentanyl-related substances that have a low potential for abuse, and allows a federal court to vacate or reduce the sentence for convictions of offenses involving a fentanyl-related substance that is descheduled or moved to a schedule other than schedule I or II. The bill establishes a new, alternative registration process for schedule I research. It also makes other changes to registration requirements for conducting research with controlled substances, including permitting a single registration for related research sites in certain circumstances, waiving the requirement for a new inspection in certain situations, and allowing a registered researcher to perform certain manufacturing activities with small quantities of a substance without obtaining a manufacturing registration. Finally, the bill requires the Government Accountability Office to analyze the implementation and impact of permanently placing fentanyl-related substances into schedule I of the Controlled Substances Act.

Sponsors: Rep. Pappas, Chris [D-NH-1]

Target Audience

Population: Recreational opioid users impacted by fentanyl scheduling

Estimated Size: 4000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Unemployed (West Virginia)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems like it tries to address the root cause by limiting availability. However, it doesn't seem to tackle why people turn to substances in the first place.
  • I worry it might make access to necessary treatment drugs more difficult due to stricter controls.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 3
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 6

Pain management specialist (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any policy making research harder is concerning for us as doctors trying to find better pain management solutions.
  • While the policy has positive intentions, it may increase barriers to finding better alternatives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

PhD Researcher (New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The changes in research protocols seem to offer more flexibility, which is beneficial for my work.
  • Long term, this might improve our understanding and options for pain management.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Law enforcement officer (Ohio)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might help reduce illegal activity initially, but there's always a risk of people switching to alternatives.
  • We need more community support systems as well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 7 5

Substance abuse counselor (Vermont)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Limiting fentanyl access is great, but we need more support networks and better rehabilitation services.
  • I'm concerned about the lack of focus on preventative measures in the policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Construction worker (Kentucky)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see how this might reduce availability, but it won't stop people from finding something else.
  • There's a need for better health supports along with policies like this.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired (Texas)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These controls might impact my access to medications for legitimate needs.
  • It would be good to see more personalized approaches to such policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Pharmaceutical researcher (Florida)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy offers clearer regulations which can guide our research more effectively.
  • Ensuring compliance will be important but challenging given budget constraints.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Social Worker (Illinois)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the need for these types of policies; however, addressing the social factors is just as crucial.
  • Without more disease prevention and community resources, this could shift problems rather than solve them.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 7 5

Emergency room nurse (New Hampshire)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If this reduces OD cases, that's excellent, but I'm cautious about how it'll play out in reality.
  • Increased resources for prevention and treatment in hospitals are still needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Key Considerations