Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6944

Bill Overview

Title: EUROPE Act

Description: This bill expedites approvals for natural gas exports to certain countries, imposes sanctions related to Russia, and addresses various energy-related issues. Under this bill, an application to export natural gas to a country with a mutual defense treaty with the United States must be (1) deemed consistent with the public interest, and (2) granted without modification or delay. Further, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission must expedite the approval for liquefied natural gas terminals intended for exporting natural gas to one or more of such treaty countries. The Department of the Interior must immediately resume oil and gas leasing on public land and offshore waters without further review. The bill also requires the President to, subject to various exceptions and conditions, impose sanctions related to (1) Russia's central bank, and (2) foreign financial institutions that knowingly facilitate transactions with Russia's central bank or other sanctioned Russian financial institutions. The Export-Import Bank (Ex-Im Bank) must make assistance available to finance exports directly regarding clean energy technology, energy infrastructure, and the production of natural resources, with the goal of using at least 25% of its annual authorizations for such assistance. The Ex-Im Bank must set a goal to maximize the amount financed in certain situations, such as when an international strategic competitor is likely competing against a U.S. exporter for an energy-related contract.

Sponsors: Rep. Curtis, John R. [R-UT-3]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals in countries impacted by the EUROPE Act

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Energy Sector Executive (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a boon for our company.
  • Expedited approvals will open new markets more quickly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Environmental Scientist (California)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the renewed focus on fossil fuels.
  • However, the clean energy financing is a positive aspect.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Financial Analyst (New York)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could stabilize energy markets in the short term.
  • Russian sanctions might lead to volatility, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Coal Miner (West Virginia)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any emphasis away from coal is worrying for us miners.
  • This policy mostly seems to focus on gas, not coal.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Tech Start-up Entrepreneur (Illinois)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ex-Im Bank's focus on clean energy is very encouraging.
  • This might open up new funding avenues for us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Fisheries Manager (Alaska)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the expedited drilling impacting our fisheries.
  • We need to balance environmental concerns with energy demands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Gas Station Owner (Florida)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any changes in energy export policies matter for my business.
  • I'm apprehensive about potential price changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired (Ohio)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Energy bills are a major concern.
  • If this policy controls prices, it's a plus, but I'm not very hopeful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Government Policy Analyst (Washington)

Age: 38 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The geopolitical implications of these actions are significant.
  • We could see shifts in alliances due to energy dependencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Oil Rig Worker (Oklahoma)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I welcome more drilling opportunities.
  • Job security feels stronger with this policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 2: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 3: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 5: $210000000 (Low: $160000000, High: $260000000)

Year 10: $220000000 (Low: $170000000, High: $270000000)

Year 100: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Key Considerations