Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6940

Bill Overview

Title: Israel Anti-Boycott Act

Description: This bill prohibits participation by certain entities and individuals in boycotts or requests for boycotts imposed by international governmental organizations (i.e., the United Nations and the European Union). Specifically, the bill applies to covered persons the prohibition of specified actions in compliance with or in support of a boycott against a country that is friendly to the United States and that is not itself the object of a U.S. boycott. The bill defines a covered person as a domestic concern, the U.S. government or a state government, or a representative or official of such domestic concern or government. The bill also adds to the list of specified prohibited actions the act of furnishing information to any foreign country or international governmental organization that furthers an imposed boycott. Under current law, a person who violates the prohibitions against such boycotts may be subject to a monetary fine or imprisonment; however, the bill removes imprisonment as a potential penalty for certain violations.

Sponsors: Rep. Zeldin, Lee M. [R-NY-1]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals and entities potentially involved in international boycotts of friendly countries to the U.S.

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

International Trade Lawyer (New York, NY)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might complicate legal considerations for clients involved in European markets.
  • I'm concerned about the potential chilling effect on international trade and negotiations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Tech Industry Manager (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe compliance costs might increase due to more stringent monitoring requirements.
  • I'm optimistic about the reduced penalties, which could lessen the policy's overall negative impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Non-profit Advocacy Coordinator (Houston, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could inhibit our ability to align with international partners on certain advocacy issues.
  • It seems more symbolic with minimal direct impacts on daily operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Automobile Manufacturing Executive (Detroit, MI)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't expect immediate changes; our main concerns are maintaining effective supply chains.
  • Regulatory compliance is always on our radar, but this policy doesn't drastically change things.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Corporate Compliance Officer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 32 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our corporation will need to update compliance protocols to ensure adherence to this policy.
  • It's not ideal, but maintaining global partnerships is a priority.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Government Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is more about sending a political message than executing drastic changes.
  • I am interested in monitoring its implementation and actual on-ground impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Import/Export Business Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a small business owner, I worry about the indirect costs of adapting to international policy changes.
  • So far, this policy seems likely to have minimal direct impacts on my operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Media Executive (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could shift the narrative focus in our reporting sectors.
  • It's another geopolitical layer that could intrigue our audience.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

University Researcher (Seattle, WA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy provides an interesting case study for current research on economic sanctions.
  • It highlights the intersection of politics and business practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Supply Chain Logistics Specialist (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We already ensure compliance with international laws, so new policy layers aren't unexpected.
  • It's part of the continuous changes in our field that we adapt to regularly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 3: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 5: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 10: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Key Considerations