Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6922

Bill Overview

Title: Continued Waiver of Interest on State Unemployment Loans during the Pandemic Act

Description: This bill extends the waiver on interest on State Unemployment Loans from September 6, 2021, to September 30, 2022.

Sponsors: Rep. Davis, Danny K. [D-IL-7]

Target Audience

Population: global population potentially affected by changes to state budgets through interest waivers on unemployment loans

Estimated Size: 70000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Unemployed (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've been struggling to make ends meet since I lost my job during the pandemic.
  • Knowing that the state won't have to pay interest on these loans might mean more funds for continued unemployment assistance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Factory Worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I just got laid off and am worried about not being able to find work soon.
  • It's good to know the state might have more room to support people like me until we get back on our feet.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 5

Freelance Graphic Designer (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't rely on unemployment benefits, but it's good to know that others who do might have more support.
  • Things like this help stabilize the economy overall, which benefits everyone indirectly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Elementary School Teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 53 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My job hasn't been affected much, but a lot of my students' families are struggling.
  • Keeping money circulating in the community helps us all, so this policy is probably a good thing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Small Business Owner (New York, NY)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My business took a hit, but I'm focusing on recovery now.
  • Anything that helps unemployed people eventually helps businesses like mine, as they'll be spending money again.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.5 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not directly affected anymore, but I worry about my kids and grandkids.
  • If the state can avoid some financial strain, I'd hope resources are better managed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

IT Specialist (Birmingham, AL)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I personally feel secure but understand others don't.
  • Waiving the interest might not seem like much, but it prevents other cuts and keep services intact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Barista (Seattle, WA)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My hours are up and down, and I'm worried about paying rent.
  • The state not having to pay interest might mean better support if I end up needing unemployment benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 5

Construction Worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've been back at work but remember how hard it was without a full paycheck.
  • It’s a relief knowing the system might catch me thanks to policies like this.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 5

Healthcare Worker (Miami, FL)

Age: 33 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's been tough seeing people struggle so much.
  • Extended support might not affect my pay, but it affects my community, which is important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations