Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6918

Bill Overview

Title: No Publicity for Terrorists Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires social media platforms to remove the accounts of certain users (individuals designated as terrorists) and establishes related penalties for failure to comply with this requirement.

Sponsors: Rep. Cawthorn, Madison [R-NC-11]

Target Audience

Population: People designated as terrorists who use social media platforms

Estimated Size: 500

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Lawyer (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support controlling the spread of terrorist ideologies, but this policy risks infringing on civil liberties and freedom of speech.
  • There needs to be a clear, transparent process for designation and removal to ensure wrongful removals do not occur.
  • I'm concerned about potential overreach or abuse of this policy by authorities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Social Media Policy Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could place substantial compliance pressure on social media companies.
  • I'm concerned about the criteria for designation—if they're not clear, platforms might overzealously remove accounts to avoid penalties.
  • This could impact platform user trust and engagement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

IT Professional (Chicago, IL)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Security is important, but not at the cost of privacy. This policy could have chilling effects on open discourse online.
  • Proper checks are necessary to ensure it targets only those directly linked with terrorist activities.
  • Public oversight is essential to prevent misuse.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Education Administrator (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful this policy will create safer online spaces by removing harmful content.
  • There needs to be balance to prevent limiting educational discussions on social media.
  • I support stricter regulations on harmful content as long as due process is followed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

College Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 21 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried this policy might set precedents for other forms of censorship.
  • It's crucial to ensure the policy doesn't target activists or dissenters under false claims.
  • Social media should be transparent about removals and designations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Homemaker (Rural Idaho)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I view this policy as a positive step towards national security.
  • It's comforting to know something effective is being done against terrorism.
  • I would like to see more transparency in how designations are made.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Intelligence Officer (Miami, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy addresses a critical aspect of online terrorism.
  • Enforcement is key to its success and needs substantial support.
  • I worry about the resource allocation for enforcement—the budget might be a constraint.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Startup Founder (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's crucial to ensure this policy doesn't hamper innovation in the tech sector.
  • Companies need clear guidelines to avoid compliance burden.
  • Transparency and appellate processes for account holders should be instituted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Journalist (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Investigative journalism could be impacted if access to information is restricted too stringently.
  • The policy must ensure that misinformation or false accusations aren't used to silence voices.
  • Checks and balances are necessary to protect journalistic freedoms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Civil Rights Activist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a potential threat to free speech if not implemented carefully.
  • I'm wary of government overreach and misuse of such policies.
  • There must be an independent review process for any account removals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $30000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $50000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $40000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $35000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $25000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $15000000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $5000000)

Key Considerations