Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6906

Bill Overview

Title: To amend Public Law 94-241 to authorize the Secretary of Homeland Security to increase the number of permits that are available for employers in Construction and Extraction Occupations seeking Commonwealth Only Transitional Workers, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill authorizes the Department of Homeland Security, by the request of the governor of the Northern Mariana Islands, to increase the annual cap on nonimmigrants permitted to perform construction work associated with preparation for or recovery from a major disaster or emergency in the Northern Mariana Islands.

Sponsors: Del. Sablan, Gregorio Kilili Camacho [D-MP-At Large]

Target Audience

Population: Nonimmigrant workers in Construction and Extraction Occupations in the Northern Mariana Islands

Estimated Size: 500

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Manager (Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems beneficial for our construction projects here, especially when we encounter big needs after storms.
  • Having additional skilled labor will help meet deadlines and improve quality.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Tourism Consultant (Honolulu, Hawaii)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Better infrastructure supports tourism, which is key in these islands.
  • More workers could mean faster recovery from typhoons, benefiting tourism.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Labor Union Representative (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's essential to ensure that these policies don't undercut U.S. worker standards.
  • There should be checks to prevent abuse of nonimmigrant labor.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Local Business Owner (Northern Mariana Islands)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The influx of workers is crucial for my business as they are often customers.
  • The more workers, the more I sell, which boosts my livelihood.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Disaster Response Coordinator (Guam)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding the worker cap should speed up recovery times after disasters.
  • It will help align the regional response efforts more effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Teacher (Northern Mariana Islands)

Age: 51 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More construction projects mean more students and challenges, but also opportunities.
  • Improved infrastructure could make the community more cohesive and prosperous.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Policy Analyst (US Mainland)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this as a proactive measure to balance workforce needs and disaster recovery.
  • It's an example of policy tailored for unique community challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired Nurse (Tinian, Northern Mariana Islands)

Age: 63 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Rebuilding takes too long after storms; more workers should help.
  • However, I hope local voices are still heard in planning and execution.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 3

Economist (New York, US Mainland)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's fascinating to see niche policies focusing on specific U.S. territories.
  • The effects might not be widespread but could be pivotal locally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Local Government Official (Northern Mariana Islands)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a crucial measure to address labor shortages during crucial rebuilding phases.
  • We need the expertise and manpower following disasters.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5150000 (Low: $3090000, High: $7210000)

Year 3: $5304500 (Low: $3182700, High: $7426300)

Year 5: $5619697 (Low: $3360000, High: $7846000)

Year 10: $6239606 (Low: $3725400, High: $8691600)

Year 100: $10436848 (Low: $6222100, High: $14516400)

Key Considerations