Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6903

Bill Overview

Title: To require the Secretary of Agriculture to carry out activities to suppress wildfires, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill sets out requirements for wildfire suppression and management activities carried out by the Forest Service. Within 24 hours of detecting a wildfire on Forest Service land, the service must use (to the maximum extent practicable) all available resources to extinguish the wildfire. Additionally, the service may not inhibit the firefighting activities of state and local agencies that are authorized to respond to wildfires on Forest Service land. Further, the service may not initiate a backfire or burnout as part of a fire suppression strategy unless ordered by the responsible incident commander and must control any initiated fire until it is extinguished. An individual who is harmed by an improperly initiated or controlled backfire or burnout may sue the United States. The bill also limits the service's use of prescribed fires (i.e., the controlled application of fire by a team of experts under specified weather conditions to restore health to ecosystems that depend on fire). The service must comply with all applicable laws and regulations concerning prescribed fires and must immediately suppress (to the maximum extent practicable) a prescribed fire that exceeds its prescription.

Sponsors: Rep. McClintock, Tom [R-CA-4]

Target Audience

Population: People living in or near forested areas managed by the U.S. Forest Service

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Forest ecologist (California)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned that limiting prescribed burns could negatively impact ecosystem health.
  • Worries that legal liabilities from backfire could deter necessary fire management actions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Firefighter (Oregon)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supports stronger coordination between state and federal agencies for firefighting.
  • Concerns regarding bureaucratic delays in initiating firefighting on federal lands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Retired (Colorado)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hopeful that immediate suppression will reduce wildfire damage risk.
  • Concerned about long-term impact of forest health policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

Tourism business owner (Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Believes quicker suppression could limit economic losses from tourist deterrence.
  • Cautious optimism about policy but acknowledges potential for unpredicted complexities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Local government official (Montana)

Age: 45 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Appreciates policies that enhance local and federal collaboration.
  • Worried about legal challenges hampering swift action in emergencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Wildlife conservationist (Arizona)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried that aggressive suppression may harm natural fire cycles crucial for habitat regeneration.
  • Supports policy if ecological considerations are balanced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Forester (Idaho)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Positive about policy but concerned about restrictions on prescribed burns leading to increased long-term risks.
  • Hopes that more resources will lead to better coordinated responses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Environmental activist (California)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned that policy may prioritize immediate suppression over sustainable management.
  • Fears negative impacts on forest health and biodiversity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired firefighter (Nevada)

Age: 61 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Believes in the importance of rapid wildland response but is concerned about the backfire control issues.
  • Supports parts of the policy that ensure local agencies aren't hindered.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Rancher (New Mexico)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Optimistic about policy reducing threat to her land and livestock.
  • If policy affects prescribed burns negatively, could face increased fuel loads over time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $205000000 (Low: $155000000, High: $310000000)

Year 3: $210000000 (Low: $160000000, High: $320000000)

Year 5: $220000000 (Low: $170000000, High: $340000000)

Year 10: $250000000 (Low: $180000000, High: $370000000)

Year 100: $350000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $450000000)

Key Considerations