Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6887

Bill Overview

Title: Secure Our Ports Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits an owner or operator of a U.S. port from entering into a contract with a Chinese, Russian, North Korean, or Iranian state-owned enterprise for the operation or management of such port. It also prohibits entering into a contract with any foreign entity for which a percentage is owned by one of those countries.

Sponsors: Rep. Steel, Michelle [R-CA-48]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or affected by U.S. port operations and their international partners

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Logistics Manager (Long Beach, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could disrupt some of our existing contracts, but I believe it will ultimately strengthen national security.
  • In the short term, we might face some operational challenges, especially if we need to switch provider companies quickly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Dock Worker (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about job security if management changes and they decide to cut costs.
  • However, having more control over who operates our ports could mean safer working conditions eventually.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Customs Officer (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe stricter regulations on foreign operators are beneficial and could improve my workflow through clearer guidelines.
  • Some of the operational partners may face challenges, adjusting to new management systems.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

International Trade Consultant (Miami, FL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy limits our choice of partners but ensures we're working with trusted entities.
  • In the long term, this can streamline processes by eliminating unreliable entities from the chain.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Port Authority Executive (New York, NY)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This change is needed for national security and aligns with broader strategic goals.
  • Some of our partnerships may become challenging, but it ensures we're aligned with U.S. interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Freight Forwarder (Seattle, WA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried that shifting companies could affect my operation timelines and efficiency.
  • Policy gives us more control over our contracts, potentially improving reliability eventually.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Ship Captain (Norfolk, VA)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The additional bureaucracy this policy might introduce worries me, but safety is crucial.
  • Alternative contractors might be less familiar with the unique needs of our fleet.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Container Terminal Operator (Savannah, GA)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We might have some downtime as new management is established, affecting our turnover.
  • Long-term, it's a step towards more autonomy over national ports.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Port Maintenance Supervisor (Portsmouth, NH)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that changes might affect maintenance budget and job security.
  • However, keeping port operations under U.S. control might lead to better funding in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

International Business Owner (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can limit our operational freedom, but it potentially opens opportunities for new domestic partnerships.
  • Some current partnerships will need revision, impacting costs and timelines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $18000000)

Year 3: $7500000 (Low: $4000000, High: $17000000)

Year 5: $7000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $12000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations