Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6857

Bill Overview

Title: FARM Act of 2022

Description: This bill makes solar and wind electricity ineligible for certain renewable energy tax credits if the electricity was generated by facilities that a public utility placed on agricultural land.

Sponsors: Rep. Tiffany, Thomas P. [R-WI-7]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in agricultural land use and renewable energy sector

Estimated Size: 6000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Farmer (Iowa)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned. Losing tax credits makes it less attractive for companies to lease my land for renewables.
  • I rely on this extra income to support my farming operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Renewable Energy Developer (California)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy restricts our ability to develop new projects in prime locations.
  • It's potentially increasing project costs, making solar less competitive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 5 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 5 9
Year 10 5 9
Year 20 6 9

Public Utility Worker (Texas)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our plans for expansion may need to be adjusted. Tax credits were essential for funding.
  • Local farmers might be less willing to partner without additional incentives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Environmental Activist (New York)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems counterproductive to increasing renewable energy use.
  • We need more incentives, not restrictions, to combat climate change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 9
Year 2 7 9
Year 3 7 9
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Farmer (Florida)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not really affected by the policy, as I'm not leasing my land to any energy projects.
  • Focus remains on traditional agriculture.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired Energy Consultant (Nebraska)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could slow down renewable growth, which is concerning.
  • Less incentive for distributed solar can have long-term consequences.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Electrician (Ohio)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might reduce the number of projects, affecting available work.
  • Diversification in project sites could offset these impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Wind Farm Technician (Montana)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could mean fewer wind projects starting, affecting job security long term.
  • Good news is older farmers may still lease without tax credits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Agricultural Landowner (North Dakota)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m uncertain about the policy’s financial impact on potential leasing.
  • Tax credits would be a major incentive for renewable companies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Energy Policy Analyst (Minnesota)

Age: 55 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy needs to balance agricultural interests with renewable goals.
  • It’s a step back for renewable energy incentives on important land areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $10000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $14000000)

Year 5: $12000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $16000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations