Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6854

Bill Overview

Title: Duty Drawback Clarification Act

Description: This bill provides for drawback (refund of certain duties, taxes, and fees) on whiskies imported into the United States when the same or similar products are later exported or destroyed. Further, the bill prohibits a proprietor of a distilled spirits plant from voluntarily destroying distilled spirits as a basis for claiming a drawback.

Sponsors: Rep. Yarmuth, John A. [D-KY-3]

Target Audience

Population: Whiskey importers and exporters

Estimated Size: 3000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Owner of whiskey distillery (Kentucky)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will allow my business to competitively price its products in international markets.
  • Our cost savings on import duties mean we can reinvest in our operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Food and beverage importer (New York)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could help lower the cost of importing whiskey, making my business more profitable.
  • I am concerned about the complexity of claiming drawbacks correctly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Owner of a craft whiskey microdistillery (California)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy probably won’t impact my business much since we don't export a lot.
  • We're more affected by local regulations and consumer trends.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Sales manager at a multinational beverage company (Texas)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can give us an edge in price competitiveness against local producers overseas.
  • It helps streamline some of the financial aspects of imports/exports.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Whiskey exporting consultant (Illinois)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy simplifies processes for my clients, making my consulting services more vital.
  • I see potential for increased work helping businesses adapt to the new policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Whiskey importer (Tennessee)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act could help us keep Scotch prices competitive with national brands.
  • I’m worried about the paperwork involved in claiming these drawbacks.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Retired (Washington)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this policy affects me directly.
  • I hope it would lead to some interesting international whiskeys becoming cheaper here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Beverage industry analyst (California)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might impact certain parts of the industry I've been analyzing.
  • I'm curious to see how it evaluates price adjustments and trade metrics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Whiskey bar owner (New York)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Cheaper international whiskeys could allow me to diversify and offer new options to customers.
  • It may not significantly increase overall profits but gives some interesting marketing angles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Freelance writer (Oregon)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 19/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this don't affect my work directly, though they create interesting topics to write about.
  • Curious if it affects the availability of international whiskies in the US.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5005000 (Low: $3003000, High: $7007000)

Year 3: $5010000 (Low: $3006000, High: $7014000)

Year 5: $5020000 (Low: $3012000, High: $7028000)

Year 10: $5050000 (Low: $3030000, High: $7050000)

Year 100: $5500000 (Low: $3300000, High: $7700000)

Key Considerations