Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6817

Bill Overview

Title: No Backdoor Gun Control Act of 2022

Description: This bill removes the category of any other weapon from the definition of firearm under the National Firearms Act. The bill treats persons who acquire or possess any other weapon as meeting registration or licensing requirements under the National Firearms Act. The bill requires the Department of Justice to destroy any records relating to the registration of any other weapon not later than one year after the enactment of this bill.

Sponsors: Rep. Roy, Chip [R-TX-21]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals owning or seeking to own 'any other weapons' as defined by the National Firearms Act

Estimated Size: 3500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Private Security Contractor (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Finally, less hassle with the registration process means more focus on my job and hobbies.
  • I believe this encourages responsible ownership without the bureaucratic headache.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Gunsmith (Nevada)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Altering the NFA will make my business more streamlined.
  • My clients will definitely appreciate fewer hoops to jump through.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Retired Army (Illinois)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The removal of needless regulations is a step forward.
  • It's good to see the administration finally cutting red tape.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Software Developer (California)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy worries me as it may lead to less oversight on firearm ownership.
  • I hope this is part of a broader dialogue on safety and regulation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Police Officer (Florida)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The risk is that this could lead to more untraceable weapons on the street.
  • Would prefer policies enhancing safety measures rather than loosening them.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Firearms Instructor (Virginia)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I view this change positively as it aligns with safe but liberated gun ownership.
  • The destruction of records concerns me slightly; there should be some oversight mechanism.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Historian (Ohio)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's intriguing how this will affect future studies on gun legislation.
  • Concern lies in ignoring evidence-based policy creation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Student (New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Rethinking legislation to reflect current societal threats is crucial.
  • Perhaps balance between rights and responsibilities is needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Retired (Arizona)

Age: 68 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Feeling liberated from unnecessary bureaucratic ties is uplifting.
  • Privacy remains paramount in owning a gun of any sort.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Lawyer (Pennsylvania)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This shift can simplify legal processes.
  • It’s positive for clients but vigilance is necessary if records are being destroyed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $8000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations