Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6809

Bill Overview

Title: TRUCKERS Act

Description: This bill prohibits the Department of Homeland Security from imposing any COVID-19 vaccination requirement on any commercial truck driver who is a national of Canada or Mexico and seeking to temporarily enter the United States for business through a land port of entry.

Sponsors: Rep. Gimenez, Carlos A. [R-FL-26]

Target Audience

Population: Commercial truck drivers who are nationals of Canada or Mexico

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Logistics Manager (Detroit, MI)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy should reduce delays at the border.
  • Expecting more efficient shipping operations.
  • Concerns over health protocols being relaxed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Customs Officer (Laredo, TX)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Easier entry may streamline my work.
  • Worried about health protocols and safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Small Business Owner (Buffalo, NY)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the border is more open, I can maintain stock better.
  • Worried about suppliers' healthcare and vaccine status.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Economics Professor (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could be positive for trade efficiency.
  • We need to balance economic and health needs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Truck Driver (San Diego, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Could mean more competitive pressure from foreign drivers.
  • Not much change directly for me immediately.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Supply Chain Consultant (Seattle, WA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may ease border transactions.
  • Concern for possible neglect in safety standards.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Warehouse Manager (Houston, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Could improve stock reliability and reduce delays.
  • Safety protocols relaxing is a concern.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Public Health Analyst (Boston, MA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may increase risk of disease spread.
  • Balance between economic and public health concerns needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Transport Coordinator (El Paso, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This should simplify logistics coordination.
  • Understand concerns about driver vaccination status.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Economist (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potential for improved trade relations and supply chains.
  • Must measure against health risk trade-offs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $30000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $50000000)

Year 2: $31000000 (Low: $10500000, High: $51500000)

Year 3: $32000000 (Low: $11000000, High: $53000000)

Year 5: $33500000 (Low: $11500000, High: $55000000)

Year 10: $37000000 (Low: $12500000, High: $60000000)

Year 100: $80000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $110000000)

Key Considerations