Bill Overview
Title: Transparency for Malign Chinese Investments in Global Port Infrastructure Act
Description: This bill requires the Office of the Director of National Intelligence to submit a report to Congress documenting all Chinese investment in port infrastructure globally since January 1, 2012, and the commercial and economic implications of such investments.
Sponsors: Rep. Wenstrup, Brad R. [R-OH-2]
Target Audience
Population: People involved in or reliant on global port trade infrastructure
Estimated Size: 126000000
- The bill focuses on Chinese investments in port infrastructure since 2012.
- Ports are a critical node in global trade and logistics, impacting economies at large.
- Chinese investments in global port infrastructure could affect import-export dynamics, trade routes, and global shipping efficiencies.
- Nations reliant on international trade may experience economic impacts, altering competitive advantages.
Reasoning
- The policy targets Chinese investments in global port infrastructure, which primarily affects people and industries reliant on shipping and trade.
- The estimated target population within the U.S. is significant due to the country's dependence on international trade and the integral role of ports in its economy.
- Stakeholders include import-export businesses, logistics companies, port workers, and consumers affected by global trade efficiency.
- Budget limits suggest that the impact on any one individual may vary depending on their proximity to and reliance on the port economy.
Simulated Interviews
Port Logistics Manager (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 45 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 12/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I hope this policy improves our understanding of foreign investments in our strategic ports.
- Any shifts in global port operations directly affect my job.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 6 |
Import-Export Business Owner (Houston, TX)
Age: 38 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This report could help predict market impacts we might face due to Chinese investments.
- I need reliable access to ports to keep my business running smoothly.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
International Trade Analyst (New York, NY)
Age: 28 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 8.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Having detailed data on port investments is crucial for my analyses.
- It could help optimize trade strategies for clients.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 5 |
Retired Dockworker (Seattle, WA)
Age: 62 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I worry about foreign control of our trade routes and ports.
- Understanding these investments could protect American jobs.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 4 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 4 |
Shipping Company Executive (Jacksonville, FL)
Age: 51 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 9/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This report is critical for understanding competitive dynamics.
- Our operations might need to adjust based on findings.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 6 |
Customs Broker (Baltimore, MD)
Age: 34 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 7.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- A detailed investment report could aid in smoother customs processing.
- Predictability in port operations is vital for my clients.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
Economist (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 50 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Understanding Chinese investments is key to safeguarding U.S. economic interests.
- It could inform better trade policies.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Port Authority Official (Miami, FL)
Age: 41 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 6.0 years
Commonness: 15/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy aids in evaluating safety and security concerns better.
- It might change how we approach foreign partnerships.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 5 |
Logistics Specialist (Savannah, GA)
Age: 30 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 4.0 years
Commonness: 11/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Detailed data on investments can anticipate changes in shipping lanes.
- I hope it leads to better logistical planning.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
Supply Chain Manager (Chicago, IL)
Age: 36 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 13/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Having a comprehensive report would clarify potential risks in supply chains.
- It's important for staying competitive.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 5 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)
Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3500000, High: $7500000)
Year 3: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)
Year 5: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)
Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)
Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)
Key Considerations
- The necessity to collaborate with international intelligence agencies to access comprehensive data.
- Ensuring accuracy in analyzing economic implications, which may affect strategic decisions in trade and policy circles.
- Potential influence on U.S. trade policy and security considerations based on report outcomes.
- Resource allocation within ODNI to ensure timely and effective reporting.