Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6793

Bill Overview

Title: To amend title 28, United States Code, to include a Federal Public or Community Defender as a nonvoting member of the United States Sentencing Commission, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill adds one nonvoting member to the U.S. Sentencing Commission and requires the new member to be a public defender.

Sponsors: Rep. Scott, Robert C. "Bobby" [D-VA-3]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals in the federal criminal justice system

Estimated Size: 350000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Worker (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having a public defender on the commission sounds like it'll give people like me a fairer shot.
  • I think over time, this can lead to better understanding and fairer sentences.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Unemployed (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Feels insignificant now, but having a public defender in that kind of role could mean fairer sentencing guidelines in the future.
  • Even slight improvements in fairness can make a big difference for communities like mine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 3
Year 2 4 3
Year 3 4 3
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Public Defender (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Seeing better representation in the Sentencing Commission can give our clients a stronger voice.
  • This initiative aligns with my advocacy for reform and fairness in the system.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Federal Prison Inmate (Houston, TX)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 2

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If having a public defender on the commission can mean slightly shorter sentences, it's a step in the right direction.
  • I've seen too many served without fair process—I hope this policy can change that over time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 2
Year 2 3 2
Year 3 4 3
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 4

Social Worker (Miami, FL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Incorporating public defender perspectives could bring tangible change within a complex system.
  • Balancing the commission might eventually address systemic biases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Political Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy adjustment is a positive symbolic gesture towards greater fairness.
  • Actual impact may be gradual, but it's crucial for systemic credibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

University Student (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having representation for lower-income individuals directly in decision-making places their interests upfront.
  • The long-term bias correction in sentencing could change societal expectations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Probation Officer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhanced judicial empathy via a public defender's insights is promising.
  • May assist in tackling unfair sentencing precedents.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired Attorney (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Bringing varied perspectives to judicial bodies can only enhance their effectiveness.
  • The long-term benefits may not be immediately visible but are crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Former Inmate (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 36 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's hopeful to see potential change from representation.
  • Fair sentencing could have changed my life trajectory.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000 (Low: $30000, High: $70000)

Year 2: $51000 (Low: $31000, High: $71000)

Year 3: $52000 (Low: $32000, High: $72000)

Year 5: $55000 (Low: $35000, High: $75000)

Year 10: $60000 (Low: $40000, High: $80000)

Year 100: $150000 (Low: $140000, High: $160000)

Key Considerations