Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6730

Bill Overview

Title: Protecting Higher Education from the Chinese Communist Party Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits certain members of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) from receiving an F (academic student) or J (exchange visitor) visa. Specifically, this prohibition shall apply to any CCP member who has served in any position in the CCP since this bill's enactment. The prohibition shall also apply to a spouse, child, parent, sibling, or grandchild of such an individual. The President may waive these prohibitions by certifying to Congress that the waiver is in the U.S. national interest.

Sponsors: Rep. Hartzler, Vicky [R-MO-4]

Target Audience

Population: Members of the Chinese Communist Party and their close family members seeking U.S. academic or exchange visas

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

College student (California)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this policy will affect me directly, but it might change the diversity in my classes.
  • I value having classmates from different countries because it provides a broader view in discussions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Graduate student (New York)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might make it harder for me to find group partners who are from China, which could limit perspectives on tech discussions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

University administrator (Indiana)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might decrease our international student numbers, affecting university revenue.
  • I am concerned about maintaining a diverse student population.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Software engineer (Texas)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Indirectly, this policy might mean fewer cultural events that I like to attend when organizers or other participants can't get here.
  • It's unfortunate if this limits mutual understanding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Business owner (Wisconsin)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fewer international students could mean less business for my store, which relies on students buying cultural goods.
  • I hope it doesn't affect my business too much.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

PhD student (Massachusetts)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It’s already hard to get diverse perspectives in my field; this will likely make it more challenging.
  • Sharing research ideas with students from China has always been valuable in my field.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Nonprofit manager (Washington)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like these can limit the international collaboration and understanding our programs rely on.
  • I fear it might hurt our ability to operate in a global context.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired professor (Florida)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might reduce interest and enrollment in courses I used to teach, affecting the vibrancy of Asian studies in the long run. It's worrying.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

College professor (Illinois)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Limiting students might narrow perspectives available to all my students in discussions and projects.
  • I'm concerned about cultural learning losses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

PhD candidate (Colorado)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could complicate research collaborations with faculty and students from China.
  • This might delay my work and make publishing harder.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 3: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 5: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 10: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Key Considerations