Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6728

Bill Overview

Title: American Offshore Worker Fairness Act

Description: This bill further restricts foreign crew members from working on vessels, rigs, and other structures engaged in offshore energy activities on the Outer Continental Shelf.

Sponsors: Rep. Graves, Garret [R-LA-6]

Target Audience

Population: Foreign crew members working on offshore energy activities

Estimated Size: 15000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Offshore drilling engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could really open up more job opportunities for those of us in the field.
  • I've seen many foreign workers take positions that could have gone to Americans.
  • I believe in investing in our own workforce but we need to ensure people have the right skills.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Marine biologist (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't expect to see much change in my field since this policy targets labor, not environmental practices.
  • However, there could be indirect effects if reduced foreign labor causes delays in drilling projects, possibly affecting environmental monitoring needs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Offshore safety inspector (Galveston, TX)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More American workers might mean better compliance with U.S. safety laws and standards.
  • Increased scrutiny on labor could mean more work for inspectors like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Operations manager at an energy company (Jacksonville, FL)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could complicate staffing since we rely on international specialists who bring in needed expertise.
  • We might face challenges filling some highly technical roles with American workers initially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Policy advisor in energy sector (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While this bill won't directly impact my work, it sets a precedent for protectionist labor policies in the energy sector.
  • I think there might be more support for localized job creation in the wake of such policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Unemployed oil rig worker (Biloxi, MS)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might help me get back to work.
  • With fewer foreign workers, maybe there will be more openings for people like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Human resources specialist for oil and gas (Mobile, AL)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might shift my work focus towards retraining and upskilling local talent.
  • This could lead to a more stable and consistent workforce if we handle it properly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired shipping company executive (New York, NY)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As I'm retired, I don't feel affected by this policy.
  • Interesting to see how it may change the dynamics of offshore operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Legal analyst specializing in maritime law (Corpus Christi, TX)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • New legislation means there's plenty of work for legal analysts like me.
  • The need for compliance review could lead to increased demand for our services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Economist focusing on energy markets (Miami, FL)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • From an economic standpoint, it's an intriguing approach to boost local employment.
  • The effects on the US economy will depend heavily on how companies adapt to workforce changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $4000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $6000000)

Year 3: $3500000 (Low: $1500000, High: $5500000)

Year 5: $3000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $5000000)

Year 10: $2500000 (Low: $500000, High: $4500000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $0, High: $3000000)

Key Considerations