Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6689

Bill Overview

Title: To amend title 49, United States Code, to repeal certain employee protective arrangements, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill repeals requirements that condition certain financial assistance for public transportation upon employee protective arrangements approved by the Department of Labor.

Sponsors: Rep. Perry, Scott [R-PA-10]

Target Audience

Population: Public transportation sector employees

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Subway Operator (New York City, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The repeal could weaken job protections, which makes me worried about potential layoffs.
  • While funding might not immediately decrease, long-term job security is a concern.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Bus Mechanic (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I might face more pressure at work due to changing policies, but my role seems secure.
  • Worried about the ripple effects on morale and workload if staff protections are rolled back.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Bus Driver (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry that without protections, part-time workers like me might be first to face cuts.
  • I'm hopeful that not much will change immediately but concern remains.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Transit Agency Administrator (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We might have more flexibility with budgets, but need to balance with employee concerns.
  • The change could lead to improved efficiencies without stringent conditions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Ticketing Agent (Seattle, WA)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm new, so I'm not fully aware of what this means for me long-term, but I worry about stability.
  • Hoping that positive management changes might occur.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 9

Subway Line Manager (Boston, MA)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may ease operational hurdles, possibly benefiting project implementations.
  • I'm worried about team morale, but see potential for strategic development.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Retired Train Conductor (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 64 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about colleagues still working, but personally, I am unaffected directly.
  • Changes might disrupt longstanding agreements and conditions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Bus Scheduler (Miami, FL)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potentially less administrative red tape, but it's uncertain how it impacts daily operations.
  • I hope this doesn't lead to job cuts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 10 10

Train Maintenance Worker (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Uncertain about long-term implications, especially concerning union protections.
  • Worried about future job cuts but hopeful management will handle changes well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Public Transport Advocate (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned that reduced protections could deteriorate service quality.
  • Policy may challenge efforts for better worker conditions, but uncertain of immediate commuter impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $45000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $65000000)

Year 3: $40000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $60000000)

Year 5: $35000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $55000000)

Year 10: $30000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $50000000)

Year 100: $20000000 (Low: $0, High: $40000000)

Key Considerations