Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6686

Bill Overview

Title: STOP CCP Act

Description: This bill imposes visa- and property-blocking sanctions on any person who is or was a member of any National Communist Party Congress of China, as well as any adult family member of such a person. The President may waive the sanctions for renewable periods of 30 days by certifying to Congress that China's government and the Chinese Communist Party have ceased (1) any acts of genocide against the Uyghur Muslim population; (2) all threats, military exercises, and aggression toward Taiwan; (3) undermining the autonomy of Hong Kong; and (4) any efforts to steal the intellectual property of U.S. persons. The certification must also be publicly available on a federal government website.

Sponsors: Rep. McClain, Lisa C. [R-MI-10]

Target Audience

Population: People who are current/former members of the National Communist Party Congress of China and their adult family members

Estimated Size: 5000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's important to address human rights issues, but I worry about the effects on my family still in China.
  • This policy might complicate my plans to visit China to see my parents.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Graduate Student (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might affect my future job prospects if it's considered controversial to have ties to China.
  • I am concerned about the political tension this might cause.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Business Owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may complicate my business operations and affect my partners in China.
  • I am worried about long-term implications on trade.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 6

Research Scientist (Chicago, IL)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think being tough on these issues is necessary, but sanctions might not be the best tool.
  • I'm more concerned about scientific collaboration impacts than personal ones.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 68 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand why the government is doing this, but I feel removed from it.
  • My main concern is how this will affect perceptions of Chinese-Americans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Journalist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a complex geopolitical maneuver.
  • Public understanding of why this is important is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Professor (Boston, MA)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned about academic relations between U.S. and China.
  • Policies like this put extra pressure on international students.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy represents a significant ideological stance.
  • It's crucial to balance diplomatic tensions with effective measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Financial Advisor (Miami, FL)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Client concerns over investments could rise due to this policy.
  • I anticipate more stress in explaining these changes to my clients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired Military Officer (Portland, OR)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm supportive of strong measures to protect national interests.
  • I hope this doesn't escalate further.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations