Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6678

Bill Overview

Title: Bipartisan Ban on Congressional Stock Ownership Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits Members of Congress and their spouses from owning or trading stocks, bonds, commodities, futures, or any other form of security. Each current Member must divest within 180 days after the bill is enacted and each new Member must divest within 180 days after becoming a Member. However, Members and their spouses have 5 years to divest from specified complex investment vehicles. The bill does not apply to certain investments, such as investments in widely held investment funds that are diversified and do not present a conflict of interest and investments held in government employee retirement plans. A Member or spouse who violates the bill may be subject to a fine of up to $50,000 for each violation. The bill permits a Member or spouse who is required to divest property under the bill to avoid recognizing gain for income tax purposes from the sale of that property to the extent that the Member or spouse purchases permitted bonds or diversified investment funds within 60 days of the divestiture.

Sponsors: Rep. Jayapal, Pramila [D-WA-7]

Target Audience

Population: Members of Congress and their spouses

Estimated Size: 1000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

U.S. Senator (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for transparency and reducing conflicts of interest, but this policy complicates my financial planning.
  • I have worked in the private sector before entering politics, and many of my investments are long-term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

Congresswoman (California)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.5 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a new member, I have minimal investments to divest, so it's less impactful for me.
  • I support the idea that we should not profit from insider knowledge.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Congressman (Texas)

Age: 64 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am glad I am no longer in Congress and don't have to adhere to these restrictions.
  • These rules would have created a significant hassle in managing our family assets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Spouse of Congressman (New York)

Age: 51 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is an inconvenience, especially since my career is closely tied to corporate interests.
  • We will have to reassess our entire portfolio.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Congressional staffer (Illinois)

Age: 45 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy doesn't directly affect me but complicates my advisory role.
  • I believe that this policy increases the trust between Congress and the public.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired Senator (Florida)

Age: 70 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Given my age and investment in safe funds, this wouldn't have affected me as much.
  • It's a fair policy to limit potential conflicts of interest.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Congressman (Georgia)

Age: 36 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am mostly invested in our family farm, so the impact is minimal.
  • I do worry about future financial flexibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Spouse of Senator (Virginia)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We have a mix of investments, some of which are affected. It's a hassle but manageable.
  • I think it promotes fairness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Aide to a Congresswoman (Ohio)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is an excellent step towards reducing conflicts of interest.
  • As staff, our roles are complicated in explaining and adapting to these changes swiftly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Congresswoman (Montana)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The ranch is left mainly unaffected, but I must rethink other investments.
  • I support this morals-wise, even if it can be financially restrictive in the short term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $7500000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $7500000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $7500000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $7000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $10000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $7500000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations