Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6649

Bill Overview

Title: Service Restoration Act

Description: This bill prohibits the use of federal funds to require a member of the Armed Forces to receive a COVID-19 vaccination. The bill also prohibits adverse action (e.g., punishment) being taken against a member of the Armed Forces solely on the basis that the member refuses to receive a COVID-19 vaccination. Individuals who were involuntarily separated from the Armed Forces solely on the basis of their refusal to receive a COVID-19 vaccination must be reinstated in the grade they held prior to the separation. In computing retired or retainer pay, the military department concerned must include the time between the involuntary separation and reinstatement of the individual. The military department concerned must expunge adverse actions or references to involuntary separation related to the refusal to receive a COVID-19 vaccination from an individual's service record.

Sponsors: Rep. Roy, Chip [R-TX-21]

Target Audience

Population: Members of the Armed Forces worldwide impacted by COVID-19 vaccination policies

Estimated Size: 2200000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Infantryman (Fort Bragg, NC)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I felt unjustly punished for my personal medical choice.
  • Reinstating my position would greatly improve my career prospects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Navy Officer (Norfolk, VA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I complied, I felt uneasy about the mandate.
  • Happy to see colleagues get a chance to return, but it doesn't change my situation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Veteran (San Diego, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reinstatement would help, but I've started a new life as a civilian now.
  • I'm skeptical but somewhat hopeful this policy passes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Air Force Pilot (Colorado Springs, CO)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's reassuring for those separated, but it makes me question initial mandates.
  • Doesn't impact me directly, but hope it resolves tensions in troops.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Army National Guard (Fort Hood, TX)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy change validates my decision not to vaccinate.
  • It doesn't change much personally since I wasn’t severely affected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Navy Reserve (Pensacola, FL)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I might return to service, depending on circumstances.
  • Happy the policy recognizes unjust actions but still unsure about my future.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Policy Analyst (Defense) (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy offers rectification for those adversely affected.
  • Interested in broader implications for military health policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Alaska National Guard (Anchorage, AK)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's an opportunity for reinstatement, albeit one I'm cautiously optimistic about.
  • The policy gives hope to those who faced harsh penalties.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired Air Force (Arlington, VA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I wasn't affected by these mandates, but policy shifts are intriguing.
  • Policy shows an evolving approach to mandates in military.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Air Force Medic (San Antonio, TX)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Glad to see the policy but concerned about potential future mandates.
  • Relieved to see a more considerate approach to health policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 2: $100000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $130000000)

Year 3: $100000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $130000000)

Year 5: $100000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $130000000)

Year 10: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations