Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6648

Bill Overview

Title: Secure America’s Borders First Act

Description: This bill prohibits using federal funds to provide certain military assistance to Ukraine until a border wall system along the U.S.-Mexico border is completed and operation control of such border is achieved. Specifically, this prohibition shall apply to funds made available to the Department of Defense and funds made available for security assistance or security cooperation.

Sponsors: Rep. Rosendale Sr., Matthew M. [R-MT-At Large]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals on both sides of the U.S.-Mexico border and citizens of Ukraine

Estimated Size: 35000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe securing our borders is critical for national security.
  • Delaying assistance to Ukraine is justified if it helps us secure our borders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 5 6

NGO worker (Houston, Texas)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy unfairly penalizes vulnerable communities and could worsen humanitarian issues.
  • Shifting from military aid to border walls is an oversimplification of complex issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Entrepreneur (San Diego, California)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy risks damaging economic relations with Mexico.
  • Cross-border trade is vital for my business, and increased barriers are harmful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Retired Teacher (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Safety is important, but it's essential not to ignore global responsibilities.
  • Balancing between local security and international alliances is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Environmental Activist (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Building a border wall is environmentally damaging and socially harmful.
  • Funds should be directed towards sustainable solutions and alliances.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Construction Worker (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy means more jobs for people in construction like me.
  • While I see the economic benefits, there are other considerations about its effectiveness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Policy Analyst (Albuquerque, New Mexico)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I find the redirection of funds from international aid to domestic security shortsighted.
  • A thorough, informed approach is needed for both immigration and international relations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Graduate Student (San Antonio, Texas)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might harm U.S. standing in global relations by ignoring international obligations.
  • I advocate for nuanced strategies balancing local and global security issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Farmer (Dallas, Texas)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This wall policy creates significant issues regarding land use and personal rights.
  • Potentially losing land or having restricted access poses serious concerns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 7

Healthcare Worker (Brownsville, Texas)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reducing aid to Ukraine for a border wall is alarming from a humanitarian standpoint.
  • We should focus on policies that support and protect vulnerable communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1200000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $1400000000)

Year 2: $1500000000 (Low: $1300000000, High: $1700000000)

Year 3: $1800000000 (Low: $1500000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations