Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6643

Bill Overview

Title: DRILL Now Act

Description: This bill bars the Susquehanna River Basin Commission, the Delaware River Basin Commission, and the Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin from finalizing, implementing, or enforcing any regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing unless it is issued by the state in which the regulation is to be implemented or enforced.

Sponsors: Rep. Perry, Scott [R-PA-10]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals living in and relying on the Susquehanna, Delaware, and Potomac River Basins

Estimated Size: 40000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Retired teacher (Harrisburg, Pennsylvania)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about what will happen to our water quality. Fracking hasn't expanded much here yet, but without the commission's oversight, I'm uncertain state regulators will protect us.
  • It's important to keep the energy industry growing, but not at the expense of everything we've worked to preserve in our water resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 3 4

Energy Policy Analyst (Wilmington, Delaware)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that without basin commissions, our regulatory focus will shift away from sustainable practices in favor of short-term gains from increased fracking. This could undermine broader environmental goals.
  • States might compete, resulting in a race to the bottom, weakening environmental protection in the process.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Environmental Scientist (Baltimore, Maryland)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this policy as a huge setback for our efforts to protect the Potomac, which supplies drinking water to millions.
  • State-level regulations can be strong, but they often lack the consistent monitoring and resources of multi-state commissions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 3 4
Year 5 3 4
Year 10 2 3
Year 20 2 3

Manager at Natural Gas Company (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act could streamline operations and reduce redundant regulatory burdens, allowing us to increase production and hire more local workers.
  • I believe state agencies are more in touch with the local economies and needs than the interstate commissions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Public Health Officer (Newark, New Jersey)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about what will become of the coordinated pollution control efforts as they shift to state agencies that may prioritize differently.
  • The unique threats from fracking to water sources require an inclusive approach beyond state lines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 4
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

Real Estate Developer (Trenton, New Jersey)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Projects could be more profitable if state regulations allow more aggressive development and economic boosting from fracking.
  • However, we are cognizant of maintaining sustainability, as that drives long-term property values.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Farmer (Rochester, New York)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry that state-level oversight will overlook smaller farmers while attempting to accommodate fracking interests.
  • Keeping soil and water health intact is key for our produce and sustainability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 2 4

Public Utility Worker (Buffalo, New York)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The change concerns us as maintaining clean water standards might become harder, depending on how our state handles new responsibilities.
  • Community trust relies on governmental transparency and accountability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Tech Entrepreneur (Albany, New York)

Age: 33 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Seeing regulatory shifts can open up opportunities for tech solutions to bridge gaps left by state agencies.
  • However, we must balance innovations with ensuring public trust and safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Environmental Legal Advocate (Scranton, Pennsylvania)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This poses a challenge to enforce the same level of environmental care without a multistate approach.
  • Communities need consistent, reliable protections that aren't swayed by political or economic shifts. This restructuring could strain that continuity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 3 4
Year 5 3 4
Year 10 2 3
Year 20 2 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 3: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 5: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 10: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 100: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Key Considerations