Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6628

Bill Overview

Title: Close Biden’s Open Border Act

Description: This bill provides $15 billion for the Department of Homeland Security to construct a border wall along the southern border of the United States. It also imposes a two-year moratorium on funding for U.S. contributions to the United Nations (U.N.). During the two-year period, funds may not be authorized or otherwise made available for contributions to the U.N.

Sponsors: Rep. Good, Bob [R-VA-5]

Target Audience

Population: People in US and Mexico affected by border wall and global beneficiaries of US contributions to the UN

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will increase our security capabilities, which is something we've needed for a long time.
  • I worry that the community might see less cross-border commerce, which is a big part of our local economy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Human Rights Advocate (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems like a step backward for human rights. It ignores the fundamental needs of those seeking asylum.
  • The suspension of U.N. funds could also mean less support for global human rights initiatives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 2 5
Year 5 2 4
Year 10 1 4
Year 20 1 4

Small Business Owner (San Diego, California)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for security, but businesses like mine depend on cross-border customers.
  • The policy might hurt our business, considering many customers walk across the border.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

College Student (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 21 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that the border wall will instill more fear than security.
  • Cutting U.N. funding isn't wise when diplomacy matters more than ever.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Tech Worker (Austin, Texas)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support the border wall as it may increase national security.
  • Though I am concerned about how international cooperation might decline due to halting U.N. funding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Retired Teacher (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a retired teacher, I worry about how this policy might affect the children in border communities.
  • This isn't just about security, it's about people's lives and futures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Truck Driver (Nogales, Arizona)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could make my job harder if cross-border transport becomes more regulated or restricted.
  • There's a delicate balance between security and sensible trade.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Corporate Executive (Houston, Texas)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The implications for trade are concerning. We rely on cross-border business.
  • Removing U.N. funding might skew international alliances, impacting our operations globally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Student Activist (San Antonio, Texas)

Age: 19 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This feels like it's against everything I've been fighting for in terms of human rights.
  • Suspending U.N. funding is a step backward for international solidarity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 2 4
Year 5 2 4
Year 10 2 4
Year 20 2 4

NGO Coordinator (San Francisco, California)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Cutting U.N. funding could mean reducing essential services globally.
  • Our organization might have to rethink its strategies in light of this policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $7500000000 (Low: $7000000000, High: $8000000000)

Year 2: $7500000000 (Low: $7000000000, High: $8000000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations