Bill Overview
Title: Climate Security Intelligence Act of 2022
Description: This bill permanently authorizes the Climate Security Advisory Council (currently authorized until December 31, 2025). The bill also requires the advisory council to report to Congress a plan to permanently establish a Climate Security Intelligence Center within the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. The plan must contain recommendations relating to the proposed center's duties, which shall include (1) serving as the primary intelligence community organization addressing the climate security intelligence needs and priorities of policymakers, (2) analyzing U.S. climate security risks and U.S. influence on climate policies around the world, and (3) conducting strategic forecasting for future climate security risks and opportunities. The plan shall also include a proposed process for transferring recommended functions and duties from the advisory council to the center.
Sponsors: Rep. Crow, Jason [D-CO-6]
Target Audience
Population: Global population indirectly impacted by climate security policies
Estimated Size: 330000000
- The bill focuses on strengthening the intelligence community's capacity to assess and address climate security risks.
- Climate security has global implications since climate change affects every nation and community worldwide.
- The target population includes policymakers who make decisions based on climate intelligence.
- The broader global population will be affected indirectly, as improved climate security intelligence can lead to more effective climate policies, affecting resilience to climate-related impacts.
Reasoning
- This policy aims to strengthen the intelligence community’s capacity to address climate security risks, which indirectly affects the general population by improving climate resilience.
- The budget constraints and the long-term goals of this policy suggest it will have a gradual but significant impact over time, primarily affecting policymakers and indirectly benefiting the general public through enhanced national and international climate policies.
- Given the policy's indirect impact, most individuals may not notice significant immediate changes in their daily lives, but the long-term benefits include enhanced national security and potentially more stable climate conditions, affecting wellbeing over time.
- A mix of professionals working in climate-related fields, residents of regions vulnerable to climate change, and individuals working in policy-relevant areas may perceive a more direct impact, while others may remain largely unaffected initially.
Simulated Interviews
Environmental Scientist (Washington D.C.)
Age: 45 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The establishment of a Climate Security Intelligence Center could enhance our understanding of national and global climate threats.
- This policy could lead to more data-driven decisions that enhance climate resilience.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 7 |
Coastal Engineer (Miami, FL)
Age: 38 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Improved climate intelligence can support the projects I work on, potentially improving safety and infrastructure durability.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 6 |
Farmer (Kansas)
Age: 50 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I don’t see how this policy impacts my farm directly, but any improvement in climate forecasts could be beneficial.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Climate Activist (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 27 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy could provide critical support to policy advocacy by offering clearer insights into climate security issues.
- Although the immediate effect may be minimal, it could help drive positive policy changes in the long run.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 10 | 8 |
Retired (New York, NY)
Age: 65 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Increased focus on climate security intelligence is promising, but effectiveness will depend on execution and political will.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
Software Engineer (Seattle, WA)
Age: 30 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The policy might indirectly benefit technology companies through increased need for climate-related data analytics.
- I'm hopeful this could lead to innovative technological solutions to climate problems.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 7 |
Oil and Gas Industry Executive (Houston, TX)
Age: 40 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The establishment of this center could lead to stricter and more informed climate regulations.
- This might be challenging for traditional energy sectors but necessary for long-term sustainability.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 5 |
College Student (Boulder, CO)
Age: 22 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- As a student in this field, having a dedicated climate intelligence center is inspiring, as it might open up more opportunities in my area of study.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 8 |
High School Teacher (Chicago, IL)
Age: 55 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 9/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy might bring more resources and updated curriculum materials related to climate security issues.
- It could help educate students about the real-world impacts and importance of climate intelligence.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Renewable Energy Consultant (Austin, TX)
Age: 35 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Increased climate intelligence could promote renewable energy initiatives and foster a deeper understanding of their importance.
- This aligns well with my work and could enhance client interest in sustainable solutions.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 10 | 7 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)
Year 2: $26000000 (Low: $21000000, High: $31000000)
Year 3: $27000000 (Low: $22000000, High: $32000000)
Year 5: $30000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $35000000)
Year 10: $35000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $40000000)
Year 100: $80000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $90000000)
Key Considerations
- Funding allocations for establishing and operating the Climate Security Intelligence Center.
- Potential overlap with existing climate-focused federal initiatives.
- Integration with broader national security and intelligence activities.
- International collaboration opportunities and obligations.