Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6597

Bill Overview

Title: Blockchain Solutions for Small Businesses Act

Description: This bill requires the Small Business Administration to study the current and potential uses of blockchain technology (i.e., the technology that supports digital currencies such as Bitcoin) in making loans to qualified small businesses.

Sponsors: Rep. Salazar, Maria Elvira [R-FL-27]

Target Audience

Population: Small business owners and their employees

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Restaurant Owner (Austin, TX)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful that any technology streamlining loan applications would be beneficial.
  • Blockchain sounds complicated, but if it helps my business, I'm open to it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Tech Startup Founder (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could open a lot of doors for tech startups if implemented correctly.
  • Being in the blockchain space, I'm excited to see how SBA handles it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 7

Retail Store Owner (Columbus, OH)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not sure how blockchain works, but anything new that helps would be welcome.
  • Will this mean more paperwork or less? I'm concerned about learning new things.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Software Development Company Owner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Integrating blockchain could streamline operations greatly for businesses like mine.
  • The potential of having better loan platforms sounds promising.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Real Estate Developer (New York, NY)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Blockchain is another tech buzzword; I need to see real benefits.
  • I'm cautious about adopting something new for my business finances.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Accounting Firm Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Blockchain can be advantageous, but only if implemented correctly by SBA.
  • It could potentially save my clients money and time in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

E-commerce Store Owner (Portland, OR)

Age: 26 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Blockchain could streamline transactions for my business; sounds interesting.
  • I hope it's not too technical to get started with.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Restaurant Chain Owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If blockchain can make loan processes easier, I'm for it.
  • I need more information before supporting it fully.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Automotive Parts Manufacturer Owner (Detroit, MI)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm set in my ways; blockchain seems like unnecessary complexity.
  • Unless proven to reduce costs, not interested.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Freelance Graphic Designer (Denver, CO)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This sounds like it could benefit my clients, which in turn helps my business.
  • More efficient transaction systems are always a plus.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $4000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $5000000)

Year 3: $4000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $5000000)

Year 5: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations