Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6577

Bill Overview

Title: Real Courts, Rule of Law Act of 2022

Description: This bill establishes the U.S. Immigration Courts, a system of courts to be independent of the executive branch. The bill also transfers all functions of the Executive Office for Immigration Review (EOIR) to the Immigration Courts, with some exceptions. (Currently, the EOIR, located in the Department of Justice, has authority to adjudicate immigration cases.) The trial division of the Immigration Courts shall have jurisdiction over various immigration-related matters, including (1) removal proceedings, (2) reviews of rescissions of lawful permanent resident status, and (3) reviews of credible fear determinations in applications for refugee status. The appellate division shall have jurisdiction over appeals of decisions by the trial division and certain Department of Homeland Security determinations. The bill establishes various requirements and authorities relating to the Immigration Courts, including qualifications, length of term in office, and mandatory retirement age for judges. Each appellate division judge must be appointed by the President with the advice and consent of the Senate, and the appellate division shall appoint the trial division judges.

Sponsors: Rep. Lofgren, Zoe [D-CA-19]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals engaged in or subject to U.S. immigration proceedings

Estimated Size: 25000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Diego, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel optimistic about the policy now that immigration decisions might be more consistent.
  • Having an independent court could mean less political influence in important decisions affecting people like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Immigration Lawyer (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy could add some stability and fairness into the immigration process, which can be beneficial for my clients.
  • I'm apprehensive about how these structural changes might affect my work; adjustment periods can be tough.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

University Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It would be reassuring to have an independent court potentially influencing visa or residency decisions, ensuring they are fair.
  • I hope this policy will make the process more transparent when I apply for work authorization.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Restaurant Manager (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • An independent immigration court might support my family better through fair process, reducing their stress, which affects me too.
  • This could allow my family peace of mind - no longer worrying about sudden changes in immigration laws.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Federal Judge (New York, NY)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The creation of independent courts might help reduce docket backlogs, though it will depend on resource allocations.
  • We need to ensure these changes improve efficiency without sacrificing due process.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Community Organizer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A new court system could be a positive move, ensuring immigrant cases are handled fairly and promptly.
  • There's hope this reduces bias, but implementation needs monitoring to confirm efficiency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm cautiously optimistic about the policy bringing more fairness to those I've worked with through the support group.
  • I can only hope this frees them from constant stress surrounding their legal status.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Undocumented Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm scared but also hopeful that independent courts might give people like me a fair chance to regularize our status.
  • Doubtful about quick changes, but the promise of fairness is uplifting.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 8 3

Tech Entrepreneur (Seattle, WA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Streamlined and independent court systems can prevent disruptions in hiring and employee retention over visa issues.
  • This change might provide more predictability in managing workforce and international talents.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

High School Teacher (El Paso, TX)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • An independent court might provide current and future educators with better examples of how the justice system operates fairly.
  • I will observe how this policy affects families in my community closely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $600000000 (Low: $500000000, High: $700000000)

Year 2: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 3: $450000000 (Low: $350000000, High: $550000000)

Year 5: $400000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $500000000)

Year 10: $300000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $400000000)

Year 100: $250000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $350000000)

Key Considerations