Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6563

Bill Overview

Title: Protecting Federal Funds from Human Trafficking and Smuggling Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits a nonprofit entity from receiving federal funds unless the entity certifies compliance with certain federal laws (e.g., laws with respect to human trafficking and smuggling). It also establishes reporting requirements, including that the Government Accountability Office must annually report to Congress on those nonprofit entities that do not certify their compliance with these laws.

Sponsors: Rep. Gooden, Lance [R-TX-5]

Target Audience

Population: People served by federally funded nonprofits impacted by trafficking and smuggling laws

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Nonprofit Manager (New York, NY)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe the policy is necessary to ensure funds are not misused in ways that could support trafficking.
  • The compliance requirements add administrative work, which strains our already tight budget.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Nonprofit Volunteer (Austin, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our nonprofit might struggle with the certification process, which could disrupt our operations temporarily.
  • I hope this policy helps more funding reach organizations truly committed to tackling trafficking.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Social Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about nonprofits losing funding; many clients depend on their services for survival.
  • Additional bureaucracy might divert resources away from direct services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 3

Policy Analyst (Chicago, IL)

Age: 52 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a positive step for accountability and could ensure more funds reach intended services.
  • Ensuring compliance could be very challenging and cost-intensive for smaller organizations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Retired (Birmingham, AL)

Age: 67 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy reassures me that my donations align better with supported causes.
  • I am concerned about how this affects funding stability for small nonprofits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 3

Nonprofit Executive Director (Seattle, WA)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I support the end goals, in the short term, this puts a lot of pressure on staff to maintain compliance.
  • Hopefully, this will filter out organizations not genuinely working against trafficking.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

IT Specialist (Portland, OR)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The increased demand for compliance might mean more work for my field, which is positive.
  • The decision could slow down nonprofits in their core activities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Researcher (Miami, FL)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Nonprofits will need data to meet compliance, which might increase demand for research collaborations.
  • There's concern about smaller organizations being overwhelmed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Student (Denver, CO)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful this leads to better-managed resources and effectiveness in our programs.
  • Certification might slow down new initiatives due to heightened scrutiny.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Small Business Owner (Rural Nebraska)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might hold nonprofits more accountable, but the added bureaucracy might deter good projects.
  • Small towns like mine rely heavily on the work of these nonprofits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Key Considerations