Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6548

Bill Overview

Title: Justice in Power Plant Permitting Act

Description: This bill addresses renewable energy use and facility contracting requirements and also establishes the Just Energy Transition Fund to, among other purposes, support projects to replace plants that are denied under the revised Clean Air Act permitting process established by this bill.

Sponsors: Rep. Maloney, Carolyn B. [D-NY-12]

Target Audience

Population: People reliant on energy production and consumption, and those near power plants

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Energy plant worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've spent my entire career in this plant and with the new regulations looming, I'm worried about job security.
  • If the fund can support transition projects, maybe there'll be a future for us in renewable energy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 8 2

Solar energy contractor (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy is a step in the right direction. More projects mean more work for us, and cleaner air for everyone.
  • There are always uncertainties with policy changes, but it seems like a good opportunity for growth in my line of work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Environmental activist (Tampa, FL)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is exactly what we need to push forward a clean energy future.
  • Switching from polluting plants to renewable energy will benefit communities in ways we can only dream of.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Coal miner (Rural West Virginia)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There's a lot of fear here about the future with these policy changes.
  • We need alternatives if the mine closes, and I hope the transition fund helps with that.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 2
Year 20 7 1

Factory owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We've been preparing for this kind of policy for years. It's an opportunity to expand our market.
  • My well-being depends on the stability and feasibility of such a monumental shift.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 3

Public health researcher (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 43 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Improving air quality would have a tremendous impact on public health.
  • I look forward to seeing reductions in pollution-related diseases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 10 2

Energy policy analyst (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is crucial for a sustainable energy future.
  • There is a need for careful implementation to balance industry and public interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

Tech worker in a startup (New York, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this boost our potential market, which can drive innovation.
  • There's both excitement and risk as the market adapts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Retired (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The idea that the plant could be replaced is hopeful.
  • Cleaner energy could mean better health and quality of life for my family.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 9 4

Union leader for power plant workers (Detroit, MI)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Workers are worried about what this means for their jobs.
  • We need to ensure that transition efforts include retraining and job opportunities for displaced workers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 8 2

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 2: $1350000000 (Low: $1100000000, High: $1600000000)

Year 3: $1250000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $1500000000)

Year 5: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 10: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Key Considerations