Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6518

Bill Overview

Title: To establish an office to combat the global rise of authoritarian socialism and communism at the Department of State, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill establishes within the Department of State an office to combat the global rise of authoritarian socialism and communism.

Sponsors: Rep. Gimenez, Carlos A. [R-FL-26]

Target Audience

Population: People living under or affected by authoritarian socialism and communism

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Tech Entrepreneur (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the policy will create a more stable global economic environment.
  • There are risks if this leads to trade tensions, but overall, positive diplomacy is welcome.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Cuban Immigrant and Community Leader (Miami, FL)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am cautiously optimistic about the measures.
  • It's important that the policy prioritizes people's freedom and not just geopolitical interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

International Relations Graduate Student (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might strain relations and affect my family and my field of study.
  • It's crucial to balance confrontation with diplomacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stability in international markets benefits global businesses.
  • This office's actions might either stabilize or escalate tensions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Senior Diplomat (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 49 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The establishment of this office can be pivotal in restructuring diplomatic efforts.
  • Diplomatic moves must align with global peace objectives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired Journalist (Houston, TX)

Age: 63 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's reassuring to see proactive policies addressing authoritarian regimes.
  • However, execution must be careful to avoid unintended consequences.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Graduate Student in Economics (Chicago, IL)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy increases my concern about potential trade impacts.
  • Long-term, a diplomatic balance is necessary to sustain economic ties.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

NGO Worker (Dallas, TX)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Such international efforts can support human rights causes.
  • Important to ensure these policies actually impact the people positively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Global Trade Consultant (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new office could influence American trade policies.
  • It's critical to maintain open business channels.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

University Professor of International Studies (Boston, MA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a significant step to address authoritarian threats.
  • Educational initiatives must accompany such policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $155000000 (Low: $105000000, High: $210000000)

Year 3: $160000000 (Low: $110000000, High: $220000000)

Year 5: $170000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $240000000)

Year 10: $190000000 (Low: $130000000, High: $250000000)

Year 100: $250000000 (Low: $190000000, High: $300000000)

Key Considerations