Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6505

Bill Overview

Title: Child Tax Credit for Pregnant Moms Act of 2022

Description: This bill allows a child tax credit for an unborn child who is born alive. It also allows the credit upon certification that a mother's pregnancy resulted in a miscarriage (the involuntary death of an unborn child who was carried in the womb for less than 20 weeks) or that the child was stillborn (the involuntary death of an unborn child who was carried in the womb for 20 weeks or more).

Sponsors: Rep. Smith, Jason [R-MO-8]

Target Audience

Population: Expectant Mothers

Estimated Size: 7000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Retail worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.5 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy gives me hope for financial support during this tough time.
  • As a single mom, any extra money will help reduce stress about bills and baby expenses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Graphic designer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill would have helped us last year with the miscarriage expenses.
  • It’s comforting to know it could assist us if we try again and need that support.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

High school teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The extra credit helps with baby preparations, but my main job helps cover the majority of healthcare costs.
  • It'll be good for unforeseen expenses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Corporate manager (New York, NY)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This credit is a positive step for families experiencing loss.
  • It won't revolutionize our finances but it is appreciated nonetheless.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Engineer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The tax credit is a nice bonus, but it won’t vastly change our current financial plans.
  • We’ll likely save it for future educational expenses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Freelance writer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could be significant for us as we’re currently managing on one income.
  • It might really help with immediate baby needs and support our current budget constraints.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Nurse (Denver, CO)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 1.5 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having financial support after a miscarriage can help with grief and recovery.
  • It acknowledges the challenges of going through pregnancy loss.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Waitress (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The credit would alleviate some of my financial stress as I prepare for my new baby.
  • It's comforting to have this kind of support from the government.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Accountant (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.5 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Tax credits help in prepping for a new child during economic uncertainty.
  • We will use it for immediate needs like childcare and supplies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Student (Las Vegas, NV)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy gives me some financial independence as I navigate this life change.
  • It can also lessen the burden on my family supporting me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2800000000 (Low: $2100000000, High: $3500000000)

Year 2: $2842000000 (Low: $2131500000, High: $3552500000)

Year 3: $2884630000 (Low: $2163472500, High: $3605787500)

Year 5: $2972052698 (Low: $2229040009, High: $3715065386)

Year 10: $3179442121 (Low: $2384581590, High: $3974302651)

Year 100: $6490000000 (Low: $4867500000, High: $8112500000)

Key Considerations