Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6495

Bill Overview

Title: Crime Doesn’t Fly Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits the use of warrants for the arrest, removal, or deportation of an alien as proof of identity at an airport security checkpoint unless the alien is being removed from the United States pursuant to immigration laws.

Sponsors: Rep. Malliotakis, Nicole [R-NY-11]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals in the United States who are aliens and may have arrest, removal, or deportation warrants

Estimated Size: 12000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I mostly worry about flying under the radar, but this new rule might make it easier for me to travel for work without too much anxiety.
  • I hope this means less trouble when visiting family across states.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Domestic Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have mixed feelings because while this seems to protect some privacy, I don't know how effective it will be.
  • Travel is a concern as I'm awaiting residency, so maybe this policy gives some relief.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Tech Consultant (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Younger people don't use warrants as ID but still worry about any change.
  • This policy doesn't directly concern me much, but I support anything that strengthens our rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Mechanic (Houston, TX)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could help me feel safer, but only slightly.
  • Without documentation, my life is full of uncertainties anyway.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Nail Technician (Miami, FL)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While this law is a small step, the real issues are more complex.
  • I don't travel much, but it may help my siblings who do.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will require significant training and adaptation.
  • It's important for security, but how it's implemented worries me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Administrative Assistant (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems to impact mostly those at risk of deportation.
  • It doesn't affect me directly, but I worry about friends who may be affected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Small Business Owner (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a positive change, but systemic issues remain.
  • Awareness and education are crucial for effective implementation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Student (Denver, CO)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As an international student, I don't see this impacting me directly.
  • Still, it's part of a broader conversation about rights and safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Teacher (Dallas, TX)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It brings some relief, but our anxiety remains due to the complex immigration landscape.
  • This might lower tensions a bit for my husband when traveling domestically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Key Considerations