Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6481

Bill Overview

Title: Transition-to-Success Mentoring Act

Description: This bill permanently reauthorizes educational programs that assist at-risk middle school students. It also establishes a transition-to-success mentoring program requiring the Department of Education to award grants to eligible entities (e.g., local educational agencies) to provide school-based mentoring programs to assist at-risk students in transitioning from middle to high school.

Sponsors: Rep. Carson, Andre [D-IN-7]

Target Audience

Population: At-risk middle school students transitioning to high school

Estimated Size: 2800000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Student (Detroit, MI)

Age: 13 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about high school because nobody at home knows how to help me with my school work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Student (Rural Alabama)

Age: 14 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel like there's no one to guide me about what comes next after middle school.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

High school student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 16 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having had a mentor helped me focus better in high school. It made a huge difference.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Student (New York, NY)

Age: 12 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My teachers don't really have time to help me, and I don't know what I'll do in high school.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 3
Year 2 6 3
Year 3 7 3
Year 5 8 3
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 8 3

Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 14 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I can't always make school my priority because I need to help out at home.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Middle school teacher (Houston, TX)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These programs are crucial. With more support and structure, I can help more students succeed into high school.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

High school student (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 15 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My younger brother could benefit a lot from a mentor. It was a challenge for me without one.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 13 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm excited at the thought of having someone guide me through this next big step.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Guidance counselor (Miami, FL)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see a lot of potential in these students. Mentoring opens doors they never knew they had.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Parent (Boston, MA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The mentoring is a lifeline that changes the path of these kids. I hope it reaches even more families.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)

Year 2: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $560000000)

Year 3: $510000000 (Low: $460000000, High: $570000000)

Year 5: $530000000 (Low: $480000000, High: $590000000)

Year 10: $570000000 (Low: $520000000, High: $630000000)

Year 100: $1000000000 (Low: $900000000, High: $1100000000)

Key Considerations