Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6473

Bill Overview

Title: To require the Secretary of Homeland Security to publish the number of known or suspected terrorists encountered attempting to enter the United States on a monthly basis, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill directs the Department of Homeland Security to publish, by the 15th day of each month, the number of known or suspected terrorists, and individuals whose identities are included in the Terrorist Screening Database, encountered attempting to enter the United States during the immediately preceding month.

Sponsors: Rep. Pfluger, August [R-TX-11]

Target Audience

Population: People worldwide who are concerned with or affected by terrorism-related actions and policy, including border security.

Estimated Size: 250000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Teacher (El Paso, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am somewhat concerned about safety in our community because we live so close to the border.
  • Having more information about possible threats sounds reassuring, but I also worry it might cause unnecessary panic.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Software Engineer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Transparency in such matters is crucial, and any data that helps us safeguard against threats is useful.
  • I'm interested in how this might influence cybersecurity strategies at the border.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Journalist (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could provide more solid data for reporting, which benefits both journalists and the public.
  • There's a responsibility to report accurately without causing undue alarm.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 7

Retired, former military officer (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have always believed that knowing is better than being in the dark, especially in security matters.
  • This data can keep us vigilant and prepared.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Entrepreneur (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm eager to see how this policy might impact international travel and trade.
  • Data transparency is generally good, but it should not create barriers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Policy Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This information is critical for evaluating the effectiveness and necessity of border security measures.
  • Policymakers need accurate data to make informed decisions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Truck Driver (Houston, TX)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any new data on threats is useful for planning my routes.
  • But too much information can also lead to overreaction and fear.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Community Organizer (Miami, FL)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could stigmatize border communities further if not handled carefully.
  • Transparency is good, but it must be balanced with empathy for immigrants.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Research Scientist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 31 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this help pinpoint areas where technology can aid in security.
  • I am eager to see how this impacts the development of our national security tech.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Broadcaster (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We need to present such data responsibly to avoid sparking fear.
  • This can make political discussions on my show more informed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 2: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 3: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 5: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 10: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Key Considerations