Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6456

Bill Overview

Title: To prohibit the provision of Federal funds to a local educational agency that requires any student at the schools served by the agency to wear a face covering or be vaccinated against COVID-19.

Description: This bill prohibits a local educational agency (LEA) from receiving federal funds if the LEA requires students at public elementary and secondary schools under the jurisdiction of the LEA to wear face coverings or be vaccinated against COVID-19.

Sponsors: Rep. Miller, Mary E. [R-IL-15]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by U.S. public school COVID-19 mask or vaccine mandates

Estimated Size: 110000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High School Student (Houston, TX)

Age: 16 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I prefer not wearing a mask, it's easier to breathe during gym.
  • I'm worried about getting COVID-19 for my grandparents' sake.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

High School Principal (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the liability and health risks without mandates.
  • This policy might ease some tension among parents.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 4 3
Year 5 4 3
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 4 2

School Nurse (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is worrying; it could increase my workload if outbreaks happen.
  • I understand parents' desires for freedom, but safety is my priority.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 4 6

Elementary School Student (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 10 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 19/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I liked not having to wear the mask, but miss seeing my friends' smiles.
  • I get sick a lot; Mom says we need to be more careful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Public School Teacher (New York, NY)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about a lack of protective measures in crowded classrooms.
  • This may reassure some parents, but I fear it could escalate tensions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 2 4

Parent (Rural Alabama)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We never really had to deal with masks here, so not much will change.
  • I'm happy the kids won't have to deal with uncomfortable restrictions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired (Boston, MA)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy is reckless; it puts my grandchildren at risk.
  • Masks have been a simple safety measure with benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

School District Policy Administrator (Seattle, WA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Losing funding is a big deal; we may need to cut some programs.
  • Our hands are tied; we have to comply, but it feels risky.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 3 5

High School Student (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 17 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel safer wearing a mask, but I'm tired of the arguments at school.
  • My parents are still worried about getting COVID-19.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 3 3

Parent (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Relieved not to vaccinate kids yet, but worried about outbreaks.
  • Trusts schools but fears policy may backfire on health safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 3 4
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $35000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $35000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $60000000)

Year 3: $35000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $60000000)

Year 5: $35000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $60000000)

Year 10: $35000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $60000000)

Year 100: $35000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $60000000)

Key Considerations