Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6414

Bill Overview

Title: No Mandates for Healthcare Workers Act

Description: This bill prohibits the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) from requiring any drug or vaccine or other biological product to be administered to employees of health care providers as a condition of Medicare and Medicaid participation. On November 5, 2021, the CMS issued a rule titled Medicare and Medicaid Programs; Omnibus COVID-19 Health Care Staff Vaccination . The rule requires health care providers, as a condition of Medicare and Medicaid participation, to ensure that staff are fully vaccinated against COVID-19.

Sponsors: Rep. Crenshaw, Dan [R-TX-2]

Target Audience

Population: Healthcare workers participating in facilities tied to CMS policies

Estimated Size: 22000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Registered Nurse (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the importance of vaccines, but I believe in personal choice.
  • Mandates make the workplace uncomfortable for some who are vaccine-hesitant.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 3

Healthcare Administrator (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about the safety and legal implications without a federal mandate.
  • It might become harder to enforce safety measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 4
Year 10 3 3
Year 20 3 3

Pharmacist (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's important to maintain vaccine mandates to protect vulnerable patients.
  • Removing mandates could increase health risks.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Surgeon (Chicago, IL)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Without mandates, the risk to patients, particularly those at high risk, increases.
  • Regulations help us maintain a consistent safety standard.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 8
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 5

Hospital Janitorial Staff (Miami, FL)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't like being forced to take a vaccine, especially when I'm unsure about its safety.
  • I feel relief if mandates are lifted, even if I'll still consider the vaccine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 4 3

Vaccine Researcher (Seattle, WA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Revoking mandates could undermine public health efforts.
  • Trust in healthcare is built on safety standards like these.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 4

Healthcare Policy Analyst (Boston, MA)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The lifting of mandates must be balanced with public health data.
  • Policy changes mustn't sacrifice community health for individual choice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 3 4

Care Home Aide (Rural Kentucky)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Healthcare facilities in rural areas face challenges whether mandates persist or not.
  • More guidance needed to balance compliance and safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 3 3
Year 20 3 3

Pediatrician (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Protecting children and vulnerable groups is a primary concern.
  • Healthcare policies should enforce high safety and immunization standards.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 5

Home Health Aide (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm relieved by the potential removal of mandates, as it respects personal choice.
  • Mandates can be stressful, especially with ongoing misinformation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $200000000)

Year 2: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 3: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 5: $300000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $350000000)

Year 10: $400000000 (Low: $350000000, High: $450000000)

Year 100: $1000000000 (Low: $900000000, High: $1100000000)

Key Considerations