Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/6398

Bill Overview

Title: FAIR Act

Description: This bill modifies pay rates for federal employees in 2023. Specifically, the bill increases rates under the statutory pay systems and for prevailing rate employees by 4.1% and increases locality pay by 1%.

Sponsors: Rep. Connolly, Gerald E. [D-VA-11]

Target Audience

Population: Federal employees in the United States

Estimated Size: 9000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

IT Specialist (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The pay raise is a welcome change, especially given the increasing cost of living in D.C.
  • It will slightly ease my rent and daily expenses, improving my financial comfort.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Postal Worker (Cheyenne, Wyoming)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This boost in pay will help with my long commutes and day-to-day expenses.
  • Every dollar counts as my family relies on my income.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Federal Human Resources Manager (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While the pay rise is nice, it doesn't significantly change my situation financially.
  • High housing costs and taxes mean my expenses remain high.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Civil Engineer (San Antonio, Texas)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This increment helps increase my savings for buying a house.
  • It's a motivating factor to stay in the job longer.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Forest Service Planner (Rural Kentucky)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The pay raise is beneficial as I approach retirement but wouldn’t impact my pension significantly.
  • Every increase helps, especially with rising healthcare costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Veteran Benefits Administrator (Dallas, Texas)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This raise helps cover basic needs and provides some stability for my child and I.
  • It's an important step towards financial security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Park Ranger (Anchorage, Alaska)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the extra pay; it’s crucial in a place with such a unique cost of living.
  • It will allow me to save more effectively for emergencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Customs and Border Protection Officer (Miami, Florida)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This increase helps ease the pressures from local living costs and my engagement in community work.
  • It's motivating to see federal valuing our roles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Public Health Service Nurse (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The pay raise helps acknowledge the hard work faced in public health.
  • It makes a difference, especially considering high living costs in Chicago.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Administrative Assistant (St. Louis, Missouri)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A pay increase is much needed for someone just starting out at the federal level.
  • It helps cover basics and gradually pays off relocation expenses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000000 (Low: $22000000000, High: $28000000000)

Year 2: $25000000000 (Low: $22000000000, High: $28000000000)

Year 3: $25000000000 (Low: $22000000000, High: $28000000000)

Year 5: $25000000000 (Low: $22000000000, High: $28000000000)

Year 10: $25000000000 (Low: $22000000000, High: $28000000000)

Year 100: $25000000000 (Low: $22000000000, High: $28000000000)

Key Considerations