Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/5746

Bill Overview

Title: Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act

Description: This bill addresses voter registration and voting access, election integrity and security, redistricting, campaign finance, and voting rights. Specifically, the bill expands voter registration (e.g., automatic and same-day registration) and voting access (e.g., vote-by-mail and early voting). It also limits removing voters from voter rolls. Next, the bill establishes Election Day as a federal holiday. The bill establishes certain federal criminal offenses related to voting. In particular, the bill establishes a new criminal offense for conduct (or attempted conduct) to corruptly hinder, interfere with, or prevent another person from registering to vote or helping someone register to vote. Additionally, the bill sets forth provisions related to election security, including by requiring states to conduct post-election audits for federal elections. The bill outlines criteria for congressional redistricting and generally prohibits mid-decade redistricting. The bill addresses campaign finance, including by expanding the prohibition on campaign spending by foreign nationals and establishing an alternative campaign funding system for certain federal offices. Next, the bill establishes new criteria for determining which states and political subdivisions must obtain preclearance before changes to voting practices may take effect. Preclearance is the process of receiving preapproval from the Department of Justice or the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia before making legal changes that would affect voting rights. The bill also includes provisions related to federally protected activities at polling places and voting access on tribal lands.

Sponsors: Rep. Beyer, Donald S., Jr. [D-VA-8]

Target Audience

Population: all voting-eligible individuals worldwide in democracies

Estimated Size: 258000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High school teacher (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will make voting easier for people with busy schedules like mine.
  • Making Election Day a holiday takes away the stress of having to juggle work and voting.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Software engineer (Des Moines, Iowa)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support the act as it seems to secure the voting process without overstepping.
  • As a remote worker, the vote-by-mail options are particularly appealing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired farmer (Rural Nebraska)

Age: 64 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding vote-by-mail is beneficial in rural areas where polling places can be far away.
  • Ensuring the integrity of elections is crucial; I welcome the audits imposed by the policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

University student (San Francisco, California)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The automatic voter registration is a game-changer, especially for students.
  • This act feels inclusive and addresses fairness which is essential to get young voters out.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Small business owner (Austin, Texas)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned about the costs but the benefits like fairer elections and more access are clear.
  • Having Election Day as a holiday helps my employees, which in turn helps me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Nurse (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I often miss voting because of work, so early voting and vote-by-mail are crucial for me.
  • Making Election Day a holiday is a huge benefit for healthcare workers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired teacher (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 67 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Protecting voting rights via this act is important for maintaining democracy.
  • Post-election audits improve trust in the system, which has felt shaky recently.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Freelance journalist (New York, New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The media tends to influence politics considerably, so adjusting campaign finance is a step in the right direction.
  • This policy overall boosts the credibility of our election processes, which is necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired nurse (Miami, Florida)

Age: 72 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • For elderly residents, voting by mail is very practical.
  • I'm worried about confusion with redistricting, but overall benefits seem positive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Warehouse worker (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding voter registration processes makes it easier for young people like me to take part in elections.
  • The aspect of community security and fairness is important to ensure our voices are valued.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $250000000)

Year 2: $150000000 (Low: $125000000, High: $200000000)

Year 3: $150000000 (Low: $125000000, High: $200000000)

Year 5: $175000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $225000000)

Year 10: $200000000 (Low: $175000000, High: $250000000)

Year 100: $300000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $350000000)

Key Considerations