Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/5460

Bill Overview

Title: Virgin Islands Visa Waiver Act of 2022

Description: This bill authorizes the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to establish a visa waiver program for nationals of certain countries to enter the U.S. Virgin Islands. Specifically, the bill expands an existing program that authorizes visa waivers for nationals of certain countries to enter Guam or the Northern Mariana Islands to also authorize waivers for entry to the U.S. Virgin Islands. Under this program, DHS may provide a waiver admitting a nonimmigrant visitor for up to 45 days if the waiver does not represent a threat to the welfare, safety, or security of the United States or its territories or commonwealths.

Sponsors: Del. Plaskett, Stacey E. [D-VI-At Large]

Target Audience

Population: Nonimmigrant visitors to the U.S. Virgin Islands from countries eligible for visa waiver

Estimated Size: 100000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Hotel manager (Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am hopeful that the visa waiver program will boost tourism and improve the local economy.
  • More visitors mean more business, but I worry about local resources being overwhelmed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 6 4

Travel agency owner (San Juan, Puerto Rico)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With the visa waiver expansion to the Virgin Islands, we expect an uptick in bookings first to explore meeting people who're curious to see new locations.
  • We might need to adjust our marketing strategies but the prospect is financially appealing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

College student (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's a positive step towards opening international interactions and potentially improving the job market in tourism.
  • Such a policy could be studied in tourism development courses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

DHS analyst (New York City, New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Another visa waiver program brings additional workload, which can be manageable but requires more resources for proper implementation.
  • It's a good initiative but we must ensure robust security measures remain our priority.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Local artisan (St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands)

Age: 64 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope to see more tourists who appreciate our craft as it might boost sales.
  • More visitors should be good for local businesses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 6 5

Healthcare worker (Miami, Florida)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned about increased health risks associated with more visitors, especially in tropical areas.
  • However, our infrastructure is supposed to be adaptable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Policy expert on immigration (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a sensible move to expand the visa waiver program where it makes sense, like the Virgin Islands with its economy largely based on tourism.
  • One must ensure stringent measures to capture and limit misuse.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Small business owner in travel accessories (Dallas, Texas)

Age: 41 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may indirectly boost my business as more travel options can enhance consumer interest in travel gear.
  • As with most businesses in travel, my success depends in part on policies like these.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

International relations graduate student (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These types of policies are intriguing as they affect international relations and partnerships.
  • Studying these changes can help in understanding broader geopolitical strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

DHS administrative manager (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 46 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy implementation means more work for my team but also strategically benefits U.S. interests in invigorating local economies through tourism.
  • Our priority will be on keeping processes smooth for travelers while ensuring resource efficiency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $4000000)

Year 2: $1500000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3500000)

Year 3: $1500000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3500000)

Year 5: $1300000 (Low: $900000, High: $3200000)

Year 10: $1000000 (Low: $800000, High: $3000000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $800000, High: $3000000)

Key Considerations