Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/5441

Bill Overview

Title: PAST Act of 2021

Description: of 2022 This bill addresses the practice of soring horses. The soring of horses includes various actions taken on horses' limbs to produce higher gaits that may cause pain, distress, inflammation, or lameness. Specifically, the bill expands soring regulation and enforcement at horse shows, exhibitions, sales, and auctions, including by establishing a new system for inspecting horses for soring. In addition, the bill increases penalties for violations.

Sponsors: Rep. Cohen, Steve [D-TN-9]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or affected by the horse soring industry worldwide

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Horse Trainer (Tennessee)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand why people want to regulate soring, but it adds a lot of stress and extra steps for competition readiness.
  • The new inspections mean more costs and time sunk into preparation for shows.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 7

Veterinarian (California)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The PAST Act is a necessary step to promote the humane treatment of horses.
  • I support more rigorous inspections to protect these animals from harm.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Horse Breeder (Kentucky)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act might hurt the market for some of my horses.
  • Increases in regulation could drive up costs and lower buyer interest.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 8

Animal Welfare Activist (New York)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm thrilled to see the enforcement of harsher penalties on soring.
  • This policy encourages a healthier and more humane treatment of horses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

Retired Equestrian Judge (Florida)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stringent inspections are overdue in ensuring fair play and animal welfare at horse shows.
  • The act might face initial resistance, but it's for the long-term good of the sport.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Horse Owner (Texas)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the increased costs associated with compliance.
  • I do see some positive aspects, like deterring unfair advantages through illegal means.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Equestrian Event Organizer (Ohio)

Age: 46 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There will be some logistical challenges at first implementing these inspections.
  • In the long run, it could enhance the reputation of the events.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 8

Farm Worker (Arkansas)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not directly involved with soring, so it doesn't change much for me.
  • If it reduces animal suffering, that's good.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Horse Show Judge (Missouri)

Age: 53 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The PAST Act is an excellent move toward equitable competition.
  • It reinforces the core values of respect and care for animals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Policy Maker (Washington)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Implementing the PAST Act is a step towards more humane legislation.
  • Balancing enforcement with compliance costs is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $4000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $5000000)

Year 3: $4000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $5000000)

Year 5: $4000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $5000000)

Year 10: $3500000 (Low: $2500000, High: $4500000)

Year 100: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Key Considerations