Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/5118

Bill Overview

Title: Continental Divide Trail Completion Act

Description: This bill provides for measures to mitigate wildfires, drought, and other natural and human disasters. Among the bill's other provisions, it sets a minimum rate of pay for federal wildland firefighters and provides parity in pay, benefits, and bonuses for federal structural firefighters; requires implementation of a 10-year National Wildfire Plan; establishes the Saline Lake Ecosystems in the Great Basin States Assessment and Monitoring Program; requires a plan to sustain the survival of critically important fisheries within certain states during periods of extended drought; establishes the Open Access Evapotranspiration (OpenET) Data Program for the delivery of satellite-based evapotranspiration data to certain data users; authorizes the Colorado River Indian Tribes to enter into agreements for conserved water under specified conditions; authorizes, ratifies, and confirms, the Hualapai Tribe water rights settlement agreement; adds specified land to the Hualapai Reservation; establishes a Natural Disaster Grid Mitigation Map that identifies critical electric grid infrastructure in each state that is vulnerable to natural disasters; establishes a grant program to award grants to remove nonnative plant species in riparian areas that contribute to drought conditions; establishes four Centers of Excellence for Wildfire Smoke to carry out research on the effects on public health of smoke emissions from wildland fires; establishes a National Disaster Safety Board; establishes a National Wildland Fire Risk Reduction Program; establishes a basic training program to increase the capacity of environmental justice communities to address disproportionately adverse human health or environmental effects in their communities.

Sponsors: Rep. Neguse, Joe [D-CO-2]

Target Audience

Population: People in the United States affected by wildfires, drought, and related natural disasters

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Wildland Firefighter (California)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy's increase in pay and benefits for firefighters is a long overdue improvement.
  • Establishing a 10-year wildfire plan gives me hope for job stability and effectiveness in fire mitigation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 4

Farmer (Nevada)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am cautiously optimistic about the Saline Lake Ecosystems program and evapotranspiration data program addressing our water concerns.
  • Efforts to remove nonnative plant species could potentially improve water availability on my farm.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 3

Tribal Leader (Arizona)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The settlement agreement for water rights will significantly benefit our community.
  • Adding land to our reservation is a step towards sustaining tribe members.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Environmental Scientist (Colorado)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new research initiatives will advance our understanding and provide actionable insights for health impacts from wildfire smoke.
  • A National Wildland Fire Risk Reduction Program is critical to reducing future devastating fires.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Retiree (Northern California)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the National Disaster Safety Board will lead to better preparedness in reducing local risks and hazards.
  • Wildfire smoke research is reassuring, given the increasing poor air quality during fire events.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 4

Elementary School Teacher (Oregon)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The bill's focus on environmental justice communities could help us prepare students better for dealing with these unique challenges.
  • Worried about the reliability of implementation given budget constraints.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Electric Utility Engineer (Arizona)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A Natural Disaster Grid Mitigation Map is necessary for preemptive handling of grid issues.
  • Concerns about execution speed and matching pace with climate change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 4

Student (Utah)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm interested in the new basic training program and its impact on communities disproportionately affected by environmental challenges.
  • Feels the allocation may not be sufficient for all intended benefits of the bill.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Rancher (Montana)

Age: 33 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The initiatives for drought resilience and invasive species removal give hope for improved conditions.
  • Skeptical about long-term effects without continuous policy support.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 3

Structural Firefighter (New Mexico)

Age: 44 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Parity in pay with wildland firefighters is a positive step.
  • The introduction of a National Disaster Safety Board could help integrate more localized learnings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1200000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $1500000000)

Year 2: $1100000000 (Low: $900000000, High: $1400000000)

Year 3: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1300000000)

Year 5: $950000000 (Low: $750000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 10: $900000000 (Low: $700000000, High: $1100000000)

Year 100: $750000000 (Low: $600000000, High: $1000000000)

Key Considerations