Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/4881

Bill Overview

Title: Old Pascua Community Land Acquisition Act

Description: This act directs the Department of the Interior to take tribally owned lands in Pima County, Arizona, into trust for the benefit of the Pascua Yaqui Tribe of Arizona. Lands taken into trust shall be part of the Pascua Yaqui Reservation. The act allows gaming on the land taken into trust.

Sponsors: Rep. Grijalva, Raúl M. [D-AZ-3]

Target Audience

Population: People who are members of the Pascua Yaqui Tribe

Estimated Size: 4000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Small Business Owner (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the new gaming facilities might increase foot traffic and generally boost local businesses, including mine.
  • There are concerns about increased traffic and infrastructure strain, but overall it seems beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Tribal Council Member (Pascua Yaqui Reservation, Arizona)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is crucial for expanding our economic base and providing employment opportunities for our community.
  • I'm looking forward to new programs funded by the revenues from the gaming operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 10 6
Year 20 10 5

Retired (Pascua Yaqui Reservation, Arizona)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's good to see the tribe gaining more land which can bring improvements to our healthcare and school systems.
  • There might be cultural concerns with the gaming aspect, but overall it's a positive change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

City Planner (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Economic development in nearby areas often brings opportunities for infrastructure improvement.
  • I'm optimistic about increases in tourism and local revenue.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Hospitality Worker (Pima County, Arizona)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More gaming and attractions could boost tourism, increasing hours and tips at my job.
  • I hope the growth doesn't disrupt the community feel too much.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Casino Employee (Pascua Yaqui Reservation, Arizona)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding the reservation with gaming options should bring more jobs.
  • I'm hoping for improved pay and benefits with increased casino size.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 10 6
Year 20 10 6

University Student (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the social impacts of increased gaming, such as problem gambling.
  • I hope there will be safeguards and community programs to address potential issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Environmental Scientist (Pima County, Arizona)

Age: 36 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about the environmental impact of new developments on pristine lands.
  • Sustainable planning is key to ensuring a balance between economic growth and ecological preservation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 7 5

School Teacher (Pascua Yaqui Reservation, Arizona)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More funding from gaming operations could mean better resources and programs for our school.
  • It's important to preserve cultural education as we grow economically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Retired (Green Valley, Arizona)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm curious about the social changes that might come with development work in the area.
  • Being retired, I'm both excited about new entertainment options and concerned about potential overcrowding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $3000000)

Year 2: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 3: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 5: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $750000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations