Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/4599

Bill Overview

Title: SUPER Act of 2021

Description: This bill requires the Department of Energy (DOE) to establish programs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from the production of iron, steel, and steel mill products. Specifically, DOE must establish a program of research, development, demonstration, and commercial application of advanced tools, technologies, and methods for low-emissions steel manufacturing. DOE, in collaboration with industry partners, institutions of higher education, and DOE's national laboratories, must also support an initiative for the demonstration of low-emissions steel manufacturing.

Sponsors: Rep. Gonzalez, Anthony [R-OH-16]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or affected by steel manufacturing and its environmental impact

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Steel mill worker (Pittsburgh, PA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I welcome advancements for cleaner steel production but worry about job security.
  • Training for new technologies will be crucial to keep industry workers employed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Environmental scientist (Gary, IN)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The SUPER Act is a great step towards improving local air quality.
  • Engagement with the community and transparency about changes are essential.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Construction engineer (Youngstown, OH)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potential cost increases in steel could affect project budgets.
  • Sustainable practices in steel production are beneficial long-term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Automotive supplier (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any rise in steel prices affects our costs and pricing.
  • Supportive of environmental initiatives but concerned about operational costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired steel worker (Bethlehem, PA)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The industry needs to embrace changes to stay relevant.
  • Long-term, this could secure jobs for future generations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Steel industry analyst (Chicago, IL)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The SUPER Act positions the US steel industry towards competitive clean technology.
  • Will be interesting to watch the economic impacts unfold.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Union representative (Detroit, MI)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring secure jobs for workers during transition is critical.
  • Support is needed from the government for upskilling workers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Local business owner (Cleveland, OH)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reduced emissions could attract more customers and improve community health.
  • I'm optimistic but hope for sufficient financial support for small businesses if needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Air quality consultant (Hamilton, OH)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is crucial for urban centers with heavy industrial activity.
  • Collaborations with technology firms can push emission reductions forward.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Climate change activist (Portland, OR)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The SUPER Act is a proactive step but more widespread measures are needed.
  • Success hinges on effective implementation and monitoring.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Year 2: $160000000 (Low: $130000000, High: $190000000)

Year 3: $170000000 (Low: $140000000, High: $200000000)

Year 5: $200000000 (Low: $170000000, High: $230000000)

Year 10: $250000000 (Low: $220000000, High: $280000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations