Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/4458

Bill Overview

Title: KELP Act

Description: This bill directs the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to award grants to carry out projects related to the conservation, restoration, or management of kelp forest ecosystems. NOAA shall award grants for projects that address greatest relative regional declines in kelp forest ecosystems; focus on, among other things, long term ecosystem resilience, kelp forest seeding and connectivity, or urchin removal and other actions to reestablish trophic structure; or are identified by federal or state restoration and management plans as focal areas for recovery of kelp forests and associated species.

Sponsors: Rep. Huffman, Jared [D-CA-2]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals relying on coastal and marine ecosystems supported by kelp forests

Estimated Size: 20000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Fisherman (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this act will help restore some of the fish populations we've lost due to declining kelp forests.
  • It's crucial for the sustainability of my business and community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 3

Marine Biologist (Oregon)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The KELP Act could provide much-needed funding for projects that I've been advocating for years.
  • Restoration projects can restore biodiversity if managed correctly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Tour Guide (Alaska)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Restored kelp forests could improve marine life visibility on tours, boosting my business.
  • Concerned about the implementation and consistency of funding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Environmental Activist (Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act is a positive step, but requires strict oversight to ensure funds are used effectively.
  • It’s crucial for policymakers to incorporate scientific advice in project selection.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 4

Retired (California)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’ve seen the decline in the local fish population firsthand, and I'm glad the government is finally doing something about it.
  • It remains to be seen if this policy will bring lasting change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Local Government Official (California)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The KELP Act aligns with our town’s goals of promoting sustainable tourism and environmental stewardship.
  • Securing grants could significantly enhance our local projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 4

Entrepreneur (Washington)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Sustainable fish stocks are vital for my business's future.
  • Restoration of kelp forests seems promising if executed well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 3

Research Scientist (Oregon)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act presents a unique opportunity to gather more data and potentially influence broader environmental policies in the future.
  • Scientific research is a key to the long-term success of these projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Char and Guide Business Owner (Alaska)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We've been struggling with fewer tourists as the marine environment declines, so this act offers hope.
  • Proper restoration could bring back the natural beauty that attracts visitors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired Biologist (California)

Age: 70 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It’s essential to educate younger generations about the importance of kelp forests and their conservation.
  • Hopefully, the act will encourage more involvement at local levels.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 3: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 5: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations