Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/4445

Bill Overview

Title: Ending Forced Arbitration of Sexual Assault and Sexual Harassment Act of 2021

Description: This bill invalidates arbitration agreements that preclude a party from filing a lawsuit in court involving sexual assault or sexual harassment, at the election of the party alleging such conduct.

Sponsors: Rep. Bustos, Cheri [D-IL-17]

Target Audience

Population: people subject to forced arbitration agreements in relation to sexual harassment or assault

Estimated Size: 41000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

corporate lawyer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a step in the right direction. It's crucial for holding people accountable in positions of power.
  • Personally, I feel safer knowing I have an option outside of arbitration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

retail manager (New York, NY)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I haven't been directly affected, but I see why others need this option.
  • In retail, issues sometimes get covered up, so this can be beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

nurse (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone who's faced harassment, this policy gives me hope for justice.
  • Hospital environments can be hostile; knowing I have an option besides arbitration is reassuring.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

software engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 31 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Being non-binary in tech can be tough; this law might help me if issues arise.
  • This doesn’t change day-to-day work stress, but it's a safety net.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

insurance underwriter (Des Moines, IA)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's about time. People shouldn't be afraid to speak out.
  • For those of us in smaller offices, this can improve workplace dynamics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

hospitality worker (Miami, FL)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy sounds good, but I’m not sure how it applies to me yet.
  • I just started working, so it's comforting knowing it's there if needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

tech executive (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • For too long, arbitration has been a way for companies to hide misconduct.
  • This bill's passage is a win for anyone facing discrimination.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

marketing consultant (Seattle, WA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Being a freelancer, I wonder how this applies to client work.
  • Anything to support those stuck in harassment binds is needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

graduate student (Boston, MA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's important, especially on campuses where power dynamics are immense.
  • Knowing there's a legal option outside university settings feels empowering.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

entertainment industry worker (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 39 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The entertainment industry needs to unmask its dark sides, and this helps.
  • I hope more people will feel comfortable reporting and pursuing justice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $18000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $25000000)

Year 3: $20000000 (Low: $14000000, High: $30000000)

Year 5: $25000000 (Low: $17000000, High: $35000000)

Year 10: $30000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $40000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $70000000)

Key Considerations