Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/3617

Bill Overview

Title: Marijuana Opportunity Reinvestment and Expungement Act

Description: This bill decriminalizes marijuana. Specifically, it removes marijuana from the list of scheduled substances under the Controlled Substances Act and eliminates criminal penalties for an individual who manufactures, distributes, or possesses marijuana. The bill also makes other changes, including the following: replaces statutory references to marijuana and marihuana with cannabis , requires the Bureau of Labor Statistics to regularly publish demographic data on cannabis business owners and employees, establishes a trust fund to support various programs and services for individuals and businesses in communities impacted by the war on drugs, imposes an excise tax on cannabis products produced in or imported into the United States and an occupational tax on cannabis production facilities and export warehouses, makes Small Business Administration loans and services available to entities that are cannabis-related legitimate businesses or service providers, prohibits the denial of federal public benefits to a person on the basis of certain cannabis-related conduct or convictions, prohibits the denial of benefits and protections under immigration laws on the basis of a cannabis-related event (e.g., conduct or a conviction), establishes a process to expunge convictions and conduct sentencing review hearings related to federal cannabis offenses, directs the Government Accountability Office to study the societal impact of state legalization of recreational cannabis, directs the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration to study methods for determining whether a driver is impaired by marijuana, directs the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health to study the impact of state legalization of recreational cannabis on the workplace, and directs the Department of Education to study the impact of state legalization of recreational cannabis on schools and school-aged children.

Sponsors: Rep. Nadler, Jerrold [D-NY-10]

Target Audience

Population: people worldwide involved with or affected by marijuana legislation and its enforcement

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

dispensary owner (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The MORE Act will stabilize my business, allowing access to banking services and removing grey areas regarding legality.
  • Federal taxes might be a burden initially but they also legitimize the industry, which can bring more investment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

software engineer (Colorado)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the policy as a positive societal change, though it doesn’t impact me directly.
  • I hope it leads to greater acceptance and safer use across the U.S.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

retired (Texas)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expunging my record would mean I can finally access jobs and benefits I’ve missed out on for years.
  • It feels like overdue justice for me and many like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

student (New York)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am thrilled about the MORE Act because it means real change for communities affected by unjust drug policies.
  • I hope this can pave the way for more policy changes and community investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

construction worker (Washington State)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It reassures me that my use of cannabis won’t put my employment at risk federally.
  • Safer regulations can mean better workplace policies for people like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

community organizer (Georgia)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns with our goals to reduce incarceration rates and support those affected.
  • It could greatly aid the people we work with to rebuild their lives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 4

college student (Florida)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's exciting to see changes happening in the law that could make justice systems fairer.
  • I hope to focus my career on policies like these that impact drug laws.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

single mother (Michigan)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Being able to fully access benefits without past convictions hanging over me would greatly support my family.
  • It’s a relief and a second chance to provide better for my children.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

immigration lawyer (Illinois)

Age: 46 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could transform immigration cases involving cannabis into fairer outcomes.
  • Many clients will benefit from protections in immigration status.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

small business owner (Kentucky)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Easing federal restrictions can help expand my product line with fewer legal worries.
  • I’m hopeful for clear guidelines and support from this policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 2: $400000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $600000000)

Year 3: $350000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $500000000)

Year 5: $300000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $400000000)

Year 10: $200000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $300000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $200000000)

Key Considerations