Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/3600

Bill Overview

Title: Route 66 National Historic Trail Designation Act

Description: This bill amends the National Trails System Act to designate a trail of approximately 2,400 miles extending from Chicago, Illinois, to Santa Monica, California, as the Route 66 National Historic Trail. The trail shall be administered by the National Park Service in a manner that respects and maintains its idiosyncratic nature. The Department of the Interior may not use eminent domain or condemnation in carrying out this bill.

Sponsors: Rep. LaHood, Darin [R-IL-18]

Target Audience

Population: People living near, working along, or visiting Route 66

Estimated Size: 1800000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Café owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've always attracted some tourists because of Route 66.
  • The trail designation could bring more visitors, which is exciting if done right.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Tour guide (Santa Monica, CA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The trail designation is fantastic news for my line of work.
  • I expect more bookings as interest in Route 66 rises.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 10 5
Year 20 9 5

Local government employee (Tulsa, OK)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This designation can spur economic growth here.
  • It's a chance to promote our city as part of a cultural itinerary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 4

Retired teacher (Flagstaff, AZ)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Retaining the historic charm of Route 66 is essential.
  • I hope the designation focuses on preservation without commercialization.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Marketing coordinator (Amarillo, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't expect my daily life to change much.
  • Route 66 isn't a major part of my world, but it sounds nice for the community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Hotel manager (Springfield, MO)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 12.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More travelers will favorably impact my business.
  • We've longed for added recognition of the historical route.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Mechanic (Barstow, CA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The trail could bring back 'the good old days'.
  • More cars mean more work, that's good for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Environmental consultant (St. Louis, MO)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The designation should help conservation efforts along Route 66.
  • I'm excited by the prospect of funded projects that enhance natural beauty.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Freelance writer (Kingman, AZ)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Route 66 stories might finally get the readership they deserve.
  • More exposure equals more opportunities for my work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Creative director at a local museum (Gallup, NM)

Age: 44 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could increase visitor engagement with our exhibits.
  • A route designation might mean more funding sources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 3: $8500000 (Low: $6500000, High: $11000000)

Year 5: $9000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $12000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $13000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $13000000)

Key Considerations