Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/297

Bill Overview

Title: To require the Secretary of Agriculture to conduct a study on the establishment of, and the potential land that could be included in, a unit of the National Forest System in the State of Hawaii, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill directs the Forest Service to conduct a study to (1) determine the suitability and feasibility of establishing a unit of the National Forest System in the islands of Hawaii, Maui, Molokai, Lanai, Oahu, and Kauai in the state of Hawaii; and (2) identify available land within the study area that could be included in such unit.

Sponsors: Rep. Case, Ed [D-HI-1]

Target Audience

Population: Residents of Hawaii

Estimated Size: 1500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Real Estate Agent (Honolulu, Oahu)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think studying the feasibility of a National Forest here is a good idea, but I'm concerned about how it might impact property values or restrictions on land use.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Ecotourism Operator (Hilo, Hawaii)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could attract more nature lovers and increase my business, but it must balance tourism with genuine conservation efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 10 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired (Kapaa, Kauai)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the potential impact on traditional land uses and local access if any new federal lands are established.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 5 3

College Student (Lahaina, Maui)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a future conservationist, I see great value in protecting our native ecosystems. A National Forest could be a step in the right direction.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Cultural Preservationist (Molokai)

Age: 34 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's important we protect our natural and cultural heritage, but any such project must include our voices and respect existing land rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Resort Manager (Lanai City, Lanai)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If responsibly managed, a National Forest could enhance our island's appeal to eco-tourists, benefiting businesses like ours.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Small Business Owner (Kailua, Oahu)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could boost local interest in outdoor activities and support businesses like mine, but I'm worried about possible restrictions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Local Activist (Lihue, Kauai)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm cautiously optimistic. A new National Forest might provide opportunities for conservation, but only if local needs are prioritized.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Freelance Writer (Wailuku, Maui)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm intrigued by the potential narratives around new conservation efforts, though wary of bureaucratic inefficiencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Tech Consultant (Pearl City, Oahu)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I love Hawaii's nature and support anything that preserves its beauty. A well-managed forest could be amazing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $750000 (Low: $500000, High: $1000000)

Year 2: $750000 (Low: $500000, High: $1000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations