Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/2872

Bill Overview

Title: SAFE Act

Description: The bill requires the development of an integrated national approach to help fish, wildlife, and plants adapt to extreme weather changes and climate change. Specifically, the bill requires the President to establish an interagency National Fish, Wildlife, and Plants Climate Adaptation Strategy Joint Implementation Working Group. The working group must adopt the 2013 National Fish, Wildlife, and Plants Climate Adaptation Strategy, which addresses the effects of extreme weather and climate change on fish, wildlife, and plants. After the Committee on Earth and Environmental Sciences releases a periodic scientific assessment required under the U.S. Global Change Research Program, the working group must use sound science to review and revise the strategy to incorporate new information and advances in the development of strategies to help fish, wildlife, and plants adapt. Each federal agency must integrate the strategy into agency plans, environmental reviews, and programs. The Department of the Interior must establish a National Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center to assess and develop scientific information, tools, strategies, and techniques to support the working group and other interested parties in addressing the effects of extreme weather and climate change. Interior must establish an Advisory Committee on Climate Change and Natural Resource Sciences to advise the working group.

Sponsors: Rep. Cartwright, Matt [D-PA-8]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals relying on ecosystems and natural resources

Estimated Size: 331000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Fishery Manager (Seattle, WA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the policy leads to more sustainable fish stocks, it will greatly benefit our business and the local community.
  • I'm worried about initial disruptions due to new regulations and oversight.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 4

Environmental Scientist (Denver, CO)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's encouraging to see strategic efforts for ecosystem adaptation funded.
  • The increased support for science will help my career growth and job satisfaction.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Oil and Gas Worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm uneasy about policies that could limit industry growth.
  • Long-term sustainability is critical but might affect job security in the short term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Tour Guide (Miami, FL)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Healthy environments are critical, my job revolves around it.
  • Policy looks like it will provide long-term benefits, but results need to be tangible.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 9 3

Urban Planner (New York, NY)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm pleased the bill addresses climate adaptation.
  • Urban adaptation is critical, yet often overshadowed by rural efforts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Wildlife Conservationist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I expect more opportunities and funding to enhance conservation efforts.
  • This policy signifies a profound commitment to environmental issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired Teacher (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 70 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Educational outreach on these strategies is crucial.
  • Retirement principles align with long-term sustainability. Encouraged to see active policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy emphasizes our national commitment to climate change adaptation.
  • Excited to see how this shapes future environmental policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Corn Farmer (Des Moines, IA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The unpredictable weather affects my yield; hope policies stabilize our situation.
  • Skeptical about immediate changes to farming practices but hopeful for innovation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supporting infrastructure for climate data will enhance tech industries.
  • I see potential for new project funding and innovation avenues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 2: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 3: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 5: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Year 10: $120000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $140000000)

Year 100: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Key Considerations