Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/2814

Bill Overview

Title: Equal Access to Justice for Victims of Gun Violence Act of 2022

Description: This bill removes limitations on the civil liability of gun manufacturers and the disclosure of gun trace data in civil actions. Specifically, the bill repeals the Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act, which prohibits civil actions against a firearm or ammunition manufacturer, seller, importer, dealer, or trade association for damages resulting from the criminal or unlawful misuse of a firearm. Additionally, the bill states that firearms trace data maintained by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives is not immune from legal process. Such data is subject to discovery; is admissible as evidence; and may be used, relied on, or disclosed in a civil action or administrative proceeding.

Sponsors: Rep. Schiff, Adam B. [D-CA-28]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals globally affected by gun violence

Estimated Size: 100000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Social Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having the ability to hold gun manufacturers accountable may finally bring some justice to victims of gun violence.
  • I'm hopeful this might lead to safer practices and reduce the number of illegal guns in our community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 5

Gun Shop Owner (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 57 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Repealing the current protections could open my business up to lawsuits for things out of my control.
  • I might have to reconsider the types of products to sell, or even whether it's feasible to continue business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 4 7
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 3 7
Year 20 2 7

Civil Rights Attorney (New York, NY)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy would definitely increase the number of cases I work on, which could mean more justice for my clients.
  • However, the increase in workload might overwhelm smaller firms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Teacher (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If this leads to fewer guns being sold irresponsibly, it could make a big difference in my students' lives.
  • I worry about potential backlash from those who oppose increased gun control.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Retired Police Officer (Rural Kansas)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think we must focus on keeping guns out of criminals' hands, but holding manufacturers liable might not be the answer.
  • It might make legally purchasing firearms more difficult.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

College Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a positive step toward accountability and could encourage safer gun policies.
  • I believe students will feel safer with more restrictions on gun accessibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Software Engineer (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I don't own a gun, I believe this policy could pressure manufacturers to be more responsible.
  • It's crucial we find a balance that respects rights and promotes safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Gun Manufacturer Employee (Detroit, MI)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could mean a significant drop in manufacturing jobs, impacting my family and community.
  • We need protection against frivolous lawsuits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 5 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 4 8
Year 20 3 8

Public Health Researcher (Seattle, WA)

Age: 51 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is an opportunity to gather better data to inform public health interventions.
  • It may help us see the direct impacts of policy changes on gun-related incidents.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Shopper at Gun Shows (Miami, FL)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems like a slippery slope, possibly leading to further restrictions.
  • I appreciate the importance of accountability but worry about my ability to buy and sell guns freely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $800000000)

Year 2: $520000000 (Low: $312000000, High: $832000000)

Year 3: $540800000 (Low: $324480000, High: $865280000)

Year 5: $583200000 (Low: $349920000, High: $932480000)

Year 10: $670000000 (Low: $402000000, High: $1072000000)

Year 100: $1340000000 (Low: $804000000, High: $2144000000)

Key Considerations